TTML - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Swing Trade Analysis for TTML

TTML presents a speculative swing trading setup. While the stock shows strong capital efficiency and some institutional interest, its negative earnings, weak technicals, and lack of valuation clarity make it a high-risk, short-term opportunity.

✅ Strengths

ROCE Strength: ROCE at 50.3% indicates efficient use of capital despite losses.

FII Interest: Slight increase in FII holdings (+0.28%) suggests some foreign investor confidence.

Low Price Zone: Trading near its 52-week low (₹50) offers potential upside if momentum reverses.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Negative Earnings: PAT is consistently negative (₹-321 Cr.), and EPS is ₹-6.53 — a major red flag.

No Valuation Metrics: Missing P/E, PEG, and ROE make it difficult to assess fair value.

Book Value Negative: At ₹-100, this signals deep financial distress.

Bearish Technicals: RSI at 47.4 and MACD at -0.41 suggest weak momentum.

Price Below Key Averages: Trading below both 50 DMA (₹59.5) and 200 DMA (₹65.8), indicating a downtrend.

Volume Drop: Current volume is significantly below the 1-week average, showing reduced trader interest.

Zero Dividend Yield: Offers no income support.

Low 52w Index (19.5%): Indicates severe underperformance relative to its yearly high.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹54–₹56

A tactical entry near recent support may offer a low-risk setup if MACD flattens and RSI climbs above 50.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹65–₹68

A reasonable upside before testing resistance near the 200 DMA.

Stop-Loss: ₹50

Below the 52-week low to protect against further downside.

🧠 Final Thought

TTML is a speculative swing candidate with high risk and limited visibility into valuation or earnings recovery. Suitable only for short-term tactical traders who can manage risk tightly and exit quickly if momentum fails to build.

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