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TATACONSUM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

Stock Code TATACONSUM Market Cap 1,14,248 Cr. Current Price 1,153 ₹ High / Low 1,221 ₹
Stock P/E 75.1 Book Value 174 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.72 % ROCE 10.0 %
ROE 7.84 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,161 ₹ DMA 200 1,126 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.88 % Chg in DII Hold 1.26 % PAT Qtr 307 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 285 Cr.
RSI 49.0 MACD -11.7 Volume 11,66,050 Avg Vol 1Wk 18,56,784
Low price 930 ₹ High price 1,221 ₹ PEG Ratio 7.58 Debt to equity 0.05
52w Index 76.5 % Qtr Profit Var -46.1 % EPS 16.1 ₹ Industry PE 13.9

📊 TATACONSUM shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is trading close to its 50 DMA (1,161 ₹) and slightly above its 200 DMA (1,126 ₹), indicating consolidation. RSI at 49.0 suggests neutral momentum, while MACD at -11.7 reflects mild bearish sentiment. Valuation is expensive with a P/E of 75.1 compared to the industry average of 13.9, and PEG ratio of 7.58 signals overvaluation relative to growth. Fundamentals are modest with ROCE at 10.0% and ROE at 7.84%. Quarterly PAT growth has slowed (-46.1%), raising caution. However, strong DII inflows (+1.26%) and stable financial structure provide some support.

✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 1,130–1,145 ₹ (near support levels)

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider booking profits near 1,200–1,215 ₹ resistance zone, or exit if price falls below 1,120 ₹ support.

Positive

  • DII holdings increased (+1.26%), showing domestic institutional support
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.05), reflecting financial stability
  • Dividend yield of 0.72% provides passive income
  • EPS of 16.1 ₹ supports earnings base

Limitation

  • High P/E ratio (75.1) compared to industry average (13.9)
  • PEG ratio (7.58) suggests significant overvaluation
  • Weak return ratios with ROCE (10.0%) and ROE (7.84%)
  • MACD negative (-11.7), showing bearish sentiment

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT growth slowed (-46.1%)
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.88%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved sequentially (307 Cr vs 285 Cr)
  • DII inflows indicate domestic investor trust
  • Stock trading near 52-week highs (1,221 ₹), reflecting investor confidence

Industry

  • Consumer goods sector remains resilient with steady demand
  • Industry PE at 13.9, showing TATACONSUM trades at a premium
  • Sector outlook supported by rising consumption and brand strength

Conclusion

⚖️ TATACONSUM is a cautious candidate for swing trading. Entry near 1,130–1,145 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, while profit booking should be considered around 1,200–1,215 ₹. High valuation and weak return ratios limit upside, but strong DII support and sector resilience provide near-term stability.

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