TARIL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Analysis Summary

TARIL (Tata Advanced Systems Ltd. or similar) shows strong fundamentals and decent technical positioning, but its high valuation and recent institutional selling temper the swing trade appeal. It’s a moderate-risk, momentum-driven candidate for short-term trading.

✅ Strengths Supporting a Swing Trade

Quarterly PAT Growth: +129%

Strong earnings momentum — PAT rose from ₹54.8 Cr. to ₹91.6 Cr.

ROCE: 28.0% & ROE: 23.4%

Excellent capital efficiency and shareholder returns.

PEG Ratio: 0.49

Indicates growth is undervalued despite high P/E.

MACD: +0.48

Bullish crossover — signals upward momentum.

Volume Surge

Current volume (10.8L) is significantly above 1-week average (7.1L) — confirms buying interest.

Trading Above DMA 50 & 200

Technically strong — price is above key moving averages.

52W Index: 59.9%

Strong yearly performance — momentum is intact.

⚠️ Risks to Watch

P/E: 72.0 vs Industry PE: 57.2

Valuation is stretched — priced for perfection.

RSI: 54.6

Neutral zone — no clear overbought/oversold signal.

FII & DII Holding ↓

Institutional investors are reducing exposure — caution warranted.

Dividend Yield: 0.04%

Not attractive for income-seeking investors.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹495–₹505

Near DMA 50 support — look for consolidation or bullish breakout.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Exit Target: ₹545–₹560

Near recent resistance zone — good level to book profits.

Stop Loss: ₹475

Below DMA 200 and psychological support — protects downside.

Would you like a comparison with other defense or aerospace sector stocks to find better swing setups?

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