⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TARIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | TARIL | Market Cap | 9,752 Cr. | Current Price | 325 ₹ | High / Low | 579 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 43.3 | Book Value | 48.0 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.06 % | ROCE | 20.8 % |
| ROE | 17.0 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 310 ₹ | DMA 200 | 337 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.32 % | Chg in DII Hold | -2.41 % | PAT Qtr | 77.5 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 71.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 56.2 | MACD | 2.88 | Volume | 20,83,903 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 26,20,411 |
| Low price | 224 ₹ | High price | 579 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.53 | Debt to equity | 0.29 |
| 52w Index | 28.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | 4.34 % | EPS | 7.51 ₹ | Industry PE | 36.9 |
📈 Optimal Entry Price: 315–325 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)
📉 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 345–355 ₹ (short-term resistance) or cut losses if price falls below 310 ₹.
Positive
- 📊 Strong ROCE (20.8%) and ROE (17.0%) indicate efficient capital use.
- 📈 EPS at 7.51 ₹ supports valuation strength.
- 📉 PAT improved (71 Cr. → 77.5 Cr.), showing earnings growth.
- 📊 RSI at 56.2 reflects healthy momentum.
- 📈 MACD positive at 2.88, confirming bullish crossover.
- 📊 FII holdings increased (+1.32%), showing foreign investor confidence.
- 📉 PEG ratio at 0.53 suggests attractive valuation relative to growth.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E ratio (43.3) compared to industry PE (36.9), indicating premium valuation.
- 📉 DII holdings decreased (-2.41%), showing reduced domestic support.
- 📊 Dividend yield at 0.06% is negligible.
- 📉 Current price below 200 DMA (337 ₹), showing medium-term weakness.
- ⚠️ Trading volume (20.8 lakh) lower than weekly average (26.2 lakh), indicating reduced liquidity.
Company Negative News
- ❌ DII stake reduction highlights weakening domestic confidence.
- ⚠️ Valuation stretched relative to industry benchmarks.
Company Positive News
- ✅ PAT growth quarter-on-quarter shows operational improvement.
- 📈 Strong FII inflows support bullish sentiment.
- 📊 Attractive PEG ratio indicates growth potential.
Industry
- 🌐 Industry PE at 36.9 is lower than TARIL’s PE (43.3), suggesting relative overvaluation.
- 📊 Engineering/industrial sector supported by infrastructure demand and government projects.
Conclusion
⚖️ TARIL is a moderate swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals and foreign investor support but faces valuation risks and reduced domestic confidence. Entry near 315–325 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, with exit near 345–355 ₹. Stop-loss should be maintained around 310 ₹ to manage downside risk.
This analysis frames TARIL as a growth-backed but valuation-sensitive swing candidate. Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing it with other engineering sector stocks like Thermax and Timken to evaluate relative strength?