SJVN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for SJVN based on the provided parameters
Swing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | SJVN | Market Cap | 29,155 Cr. | Current Price | 74.2 ₹ | High / Low | 102 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 28.9 | Book Value | 37.4 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.97 % | ROCE | 9.94 % |
| ROE | 6.95 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 74.1 ₹ | DMA 200 | 79.4 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.06 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.25 % | PAT Qtr | 125 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 252 Cr. |
| RSI | 51.5 | MACD | -0.50 | Volume | 36,72,865 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 28,93,230 |
| Low price | 63.0 ₹ | High price | 102 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -2.83 | Debt to equity | 0.72 |
| 52w Index | 28.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 308 % | EPS | 2.56 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.6 |
📊 Analysis: SJVN shows moderate swing trading potential. Current price (74.2 ₹) is near DMA 50 (74.1 ₹) but below DMA 200 (79.4 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 51.5 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (-0.50) suggests mild bearishness. Fundamentals are modest with ROE (6.95%) and ROCE (9.94%). Dividend yield (1.97%) adds stability, but profit decline (125 Cr. vs 252 Cr.) raises caution.
💰 Optimal Entry: Entry zone lies between 70 ₹ – 72 ₹, closer to support levels near 63 ₹.
🔑 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting around 78 ₹ – 82 ₹, where DMA 200 resistance may cap upside.
✅ Positive
- Dividend yield of 1.97% provides income support.
- Quarterly profit variation shows strong YoY growth (308%).
- EPS at 2.56 ₹ supports valuation stability.
- Industry PE (27.6) aligns closely with stock PE (28.9).
⚠️ Limitation
- Weak ROE (6.95%) and ROCE (9.94%) compared to peers.
- Negative MACD (-0.50) indicates weak momentum.
- Trading below DMA 200 reflects bearish undertone.
- High debt-to-equity ratio (0.72) adds leverage risk.
📉 Company Negative News
- Decline in quarterly PAT (125 Cr. vs 252 Cr.).
- DII holdings decreased (-0.25%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
📈 Company Positive News
- FII holdings increased (+0.06%), showing foreign investor confidence.
- Strong YoY profit variation (+308%) despite sequential decline.
🏭 Industry
- Power sector remains stable with long-term demand growth.
- Industry PE (27.6) suggests moderate valuation compared to broader utilities.
🔎 Conclusion
⚖️ SJVN is a fair swing trade candidate with rating 3.6. Entry near 70–72 ₹ offers a risk-managed opportunity, while exits around 78–82 ₹ are advisable if already holding. Weak momentum and declining quarterly profits warrant caution, but dividend yield and sector stability provide support.
Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparing SJVN against NTPC and NHPC for benchmarking in the power sector?