SJVN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Swing Trade Analysis: SJVN Ltd

SJVN presents a technically neutral and fundamentally modest swing trade setup. While the stock is trading near support levels and has shown a strong rebound in quarterly profits, weak momentum indicators and valuation concerns suggest a cautious approach.

✅ Positives

Earnings Recovery

PAT Qtr: ₹259 Cr. vs ₹30.7 Cr. → Strong sequential improvement.

EPS: ₹2.29 → Stable earnings base.

Valuation Context

P/E: 40.9 vs Industry PE: 31.2 → Slightly overvalued, but not extreme.

Book Value: ₹36.3 → Price trading at ~2.6× book value.

Technical Support Zone

Current price ₹93.9 is just below DMA50 (₹95.2) and DMA200 (₹99.6) → Consolidation zone.

RSI: 47.6 → Neutral, with room to rise.

Dividend Yield: 1.55% → Decent passive income.

Debt-to-Equity: 0.74 → Moderate leverage.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Momentum Weakness

MACD: -0.49 → Bearish crossover.

Price below both DMA levels → Weak short-term trend.

Profit Volatility

Qtr Profit Var: -21.0% → Inconsistent earnings.

PEG Ratio: -47.1 → Indicates poor growth expectations.

Institutional Sentiment

FII Holding ↑ 0.03% → Flat foreign interest.

DII Holding ↓ 0.10% → Mild domestic pullback.

Volume Drop

Current volume < 1-week average → Waning interest.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹90–₹92

Slight pullback from current price, near support and psychological level.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹100–₹105

Near DMA200 and short-term resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹88

Below recent support to manage downside risk.

This setup suits contrarian swing traders who can monitor for a MACD reversal and act quickly. Let me know if you'd like help tracking this setup or setting alerts.

Edit in a page