SJVN - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.0

📉 Technical Overview

Price ₹96.2 trades below both DMA 50 (₹98.1) and DMA 200 (₹102) — suggesting bearish control.

RSI: 41.3 — weak momentum, hovering near oversold zone.

MACD: −0.66 — negative crossover, confirming lack of short-term strength.

Volume below average — implies fading interest; no signs of reversal.

📊 Fundamental Snapshot

P/E: 46.2 vs Industry PE of 41.2 — slightly overvalued.

PEG Ratio: −6.81 — signals poor earnings growth relative to price.

EPS ₹2.09 — relatively low for the price band.

ROCE (4.87%) and ROE (5.79%) — below efficiency benchmarks.

Debt-to-equity: 1.91 — elevated leverage; adds risk.

Qtr PAT dropped from ₹149 Cr to −₹128 Cr → −330% variance — very steep fall.

Dividend Yield: 1.87% — moderate, but not a swing trigger.

FII change (+0.03%), DII (−0.10%) — almost stagnant institutional stance.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

₹88–₹91

Aligns with support zones near 52-week lows.

Entry only if RSI recovers past 45 and MACD begins flattening.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Zone: ₹104–₹108

Resistance at 200 DMA and prior peaks.

Stop-Loss: ₹84

Positioned below psychological and technical support.

SJVN isn't exhibiting strong swing characteristics currently. While the stock is approaching oversold territory, fundamentals have deteriorated, and technical indicators show weakness. Unless there's a confirmed bounce with volume and improved RSI, this setup is best approached cautiously. Let me know if you'd like to compare this with PSU energy stocks showing more promising signals 🔋📈.

Edit in a page