SJVN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | SJVN | Market Cap | 31,356 Cr. | Current Price | 79.9 ₹ | High / Low | 108 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 34.3 | Book Value | 37.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.83 % | ROCE | 8.36 % |
| ROE | 6.86 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 74.4 ₹ | DMA 200 | 81.2 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.06 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.25 % | PAT Qtr | 252 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 372 Cr. |
| RSI | 60.6 | MACD | 2.62 | Volume | 42,26,823 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 63,93,832 |
| Low price | 63.0 ₹ | High price | 108 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -39.5 | Debt to equity | 0.70 |
| 52w Index | 37.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | 80.8 % | EPS | 2.32 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.0 |
📊 SJVN shows a relatively balanced outlook for swing trading. The RSI at 60.6 indicates the stock is approaching overbought levels, while the MACD is positive (2.62), suggesting short-term bullish momentum. The current price (79.9 ₹) is above the 50 DMA (74.4 ₹) but slightly below the 200 DMA (81.2 ₹), reflecting mixed technical signals. Fundamentals show moderate profitability with ROCE at 8.36% and ROE at 6.86%, while valuation (P/E 34.3) is slightly above the industry average (31.0).
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 75–77 ₹, near the 50 DMA support zone.
📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 82–85 ₹ (200 DMA resistance zone) unless momentum strengthens further.
Positive
- Strong 52-week performance (+37.9%).
- Dividend yield of 1.83% provides steady income.
- Quarterly profit variation shows strong growth (80.8%).
- EPS of 2.32 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
Limitation
- ROE (6.86%) and ROCE (8.36%) are relatively modest compared to peers.
- P/E ratio (34.3) is slightly above industry average (31.0), making valuation less attractive.
- Volume (42.2 lakh) is below 1-week average (63.9 lakh), showing reduced trading interest.
Company Negative News
- DII holdings decreased (-0.25%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
- PAT declined (252 Cr vs 372 Cr in previous quarter), indicating earnings volatility.
Company Positive News
- FII holdings increased (+0.06%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
- Quarterly profit variation (+80.8%) highlights strong growth momentum.
Industry
- Industry PE is 31.0, slightly lower than SJVN’s 34.3, suggesting peers may be more attractively valued.
- Power and energy sector remains growth-oriented, supported by infrastructure expansion and renewable energy initiatives.
Conclusion
⚖️ SJVN is a moderately good candidate for swing trading. Entry near 75–77 ₹ could provide a rebound opportunity, with potential upside capped around 82–85 ₹. While fundamentals are stable and dividend yield is attractive, modest profitability and valuation risks warrant cautious positioning.