SJVN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📈 Positive

• 💰 Dividend yield of 1.67% adds passive income potential.
• 📈 EPS of ₹2.29 and PAT of ₹259 Cr. show profitability despite sector challenges.
• 📉 Price is near 52-week low (₹80.5), offering a potential bounce setup.
• 📈 DII holding increased by 0.22%, indicating growing domestic institutional interest.
• 📉 P/E of 38.1 vs industry P/E of 31.0 suggests moderate valuation premium.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 33.9 and MACD at -1.08 indicate weak momentum and bearish sentiment.
• 📉 Price is below both DMA 50 (₹91.2) and DMA 200 (₹97.0), confirming short-term downtrend.
• 📉 Volume (19.6 lakh) is below 1-week average (26.2 lakh), showing reduced participation.
• 📉 ROCE of 8.36% and ROE of 6.86% reflect modest capital efficiency.
• 📉 PEG ratio of -43.8 implies negative growth outlook.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 is moderately high for a PSU utility.

🚫 Company Negative News

• 📉 Analysts have flagged concerns over execution delays and regulatory bottlenecks in renewable energy projects.

✅ Company Positive News

• ⚡ SJVN continues to benefit from government push for renewable energy and hydroelectric expansion.
• 📈 Recent PAT surge suggests operational recovery and improved cost management.

🏦 Industry

• 🔋 Operates in the power generation and renewable energy sector, which is cyclical but supported by policy incentives and infrastructure demand.
• 📊 Industry P/E of 31.0 reflects moderate optimism and growth expectations.

🧾 Conclusion

• 📉 SJVN shows signs of recovery but faces technical weakness and valuation caution, making it a speculative swing trade candidate.
• 📍 Optimal entry: ₹85–₹87 (near support and RSI bottom).
• 🚪 Exit if held: ₹94–₹96 (near DMA 50 and resistance zone) unless momentum strengthens.
• ⚠️ Suitable for swing trading with tight stop-loss and close monitoring of volume and MACD crossover signals.

I can also compare SJVN’s setup with peers like NHPC or NTPC to help you identify stronger technical setups.