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SJVN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.1

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:30 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

Stock Code SJVN Market Cap 27,013 Cr. Current Price 68.7 ₹ High / Low 108 ₹
Stock P/E 29.6 Book Value 37.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.12 % ROCE 8.36 %
ROE 6.86 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 73.5 ₹ DMA 200 83.5 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.14 % Chg in DII Hold -0.33 % PAT Qtr 252 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 372 Cr.
RSI 41.8 MACD -1.37 Volume 47,35,464 Avg Vol 1Wk 66,54,666
Low price 67.1 ₹ High price 108 ₹ PEG Ratio -34.0 Debt to equity 0.70
52w Index 3.96 % Qtr Profit Var 80.8 % EPS 2.32 ₹ Industry PE 31.7

📊 SJVN trades at ₹68.7, close to its recent low of ₹67.1. Technical indicators (RSI 41.8, MACD -1.37, price below 50DMA and 200DMA) show weak momentum. Fundamentals are moderate with decent dividend yield but low ROE and declining quarterly profits. This makes it a cautious swing trade candidate.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹67–69 (near support zone).

🔔 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near ₹73–75 (around 50DMA resistance) unless momentum improves.

✅ Positive

  • Dividend yield of 2.12% provides income support.
  • FII holdings increased by 0.14%.
  • Reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70.
  • EPS of ₹2.32 shows consistent earnings base.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Low ROE (6.86%) and ROCE (8.36%).
  • Stock P/E of 29.6 is slightly below industry PE but still high given weak profitability.
  • PEG ratio of -34.0 indicates poor growth valuation.
  • DII holdings decreased by 0.33%.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT fell from ₹372 Cr. to ₹252 Cr.
  • Weak technicals: RSI near oversold, MACD negative.
  • Price trading below both 50DMA and 200DMA.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Dividend yield higher than peers at 2.12%.
  • FII confidence shown by increased holdings.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 31.7, slightly higher than SJVN’s valuation.
  • Power sector in India is expanding with renewable energy focus.
  • Competition and regulatory challenges remain significant.

🔎 Conclusion

SJVN offers decent dividend yield but weak profitability and declining quarterly profits limit upside potential. It is a cautious swing trade candidate if entered near ₹67–69 with a target around ₹73–75. Risk management is crucial due to weak technicals and low return ratios.

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