SJVN - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.5

📊 Analysis: SJVN shows weak intraday potential. RSI at 22.5 indicates oversold conditions, but MACD (-3.23) remains negative, suggesting bearish sentiment. Current price (₹72.9) is below both 50 DMA (₹80.7) and 200 DMA (₹91.8), reflecting short-term and medium-term weakness. Volume (27.7L) is slightly above weekly average (24.9L), showing participation but not strong bullish conviction. Fundamentals remain modest with low ROE and ROCE.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹72–₹73 only if reversal signals appear intraday.

🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹76–₹78 (near minor resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹70 (below immediate support).

⏱️ Intraday Exit Guidance: If already holding, consider exiting near ₹76–₹78 if momentum weakens or volume fails to support recovery. Exit immediately if price drops below ₹70 intraday.

Positive

• 📈 Dividend yield: 2.02% provides shareholder returns.
• 📊 Sequential PAT growth: ₹372 Cr vs ₹259 Cr shows improvement.
• 📈 Marginal increase in FII & DII holdings: Reflects cautious institutional confidence.

Limitation

• ⚠️ Price below DMA levels: Trading below 50 & 200 DMA indicates weakness.
• 📉 Weak ROE/ROCE: ROE 6.86%, ROCE 8.36% shows modest capital efficiency.
• 🔻 Negative PEG ratio: -41.2 suggests unsustainable growth metrics.
• 📉 RSI oversold: Indicates bearish sentiment with limited recovery potential.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly profit variance: -21.3% decline highlights operational weakness.

Company Positive News

• 📊 Sequential PAT improvement: ₹372 Cr vs ₹259 Cr shows recovery momentum.
• 📈 Marginal increase in institutional holdings: FII +0.03%, DII +0.22% reflects cautious confidence.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE: 26.7, lower than SJVN’s 35.8, highlights relative overvaluation.
• 📊 Sector demand: Power generation sector remains cyclical, offering long-term opportunities but weak intraday momentum.

Conclusion

⚖️ SJVN is a weak intraday candidate today due to negative MACD, oversold RSI, and price trading below DMA levels. Optimal buy zone is ₹72–₹73 with profit exits near ₹76–₹78. Traders should maintain tight stop-losses at ₹70 and avoid aggressive intraday positioning.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other power generation stocks (like NTPC, NHPC, Tata Power) for intraday comparison, or prepare a sector rotation basket for swing setups in utilities and energy?