RTNINDIA - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 1.8

🧪 Technical Setup

Current Price near DMA levels (₹57.0 vs DMA 50 ₹57.2 & DMA 200 ₹56.9): Suggests price stagnation with no breakout signal.

RSI at 41.7: Momentum is weak and leaning bearish.

MACD at -0.25: Negative crossover — more downtrend pressure.

Volume slightly above average: Traders may be watching, but no breakout confirmation yet.

📉 Fundamental Weakness

P/E Ratio of 97.5 vs Industry PE of 38.5: Grossly overvalued.

EPS ₹0.61: Weak earnings for such a high valuation.

PEG Ratio 1.32: Indicates overpayment even for anticipated growth.

Book Value ₹6.67 vs Price ₹57.0: Price-to-book is significantly high.

🚩 Profitability & Sentiment

PAT dropped from -₹170 Cr to -₹356 Cr: Deepening losses, with Qtr Profit Var at -338%.

ROCE 12.7% and ROE 9.17%: Mediocre efficiency.

FII & DII holdings nearly flat: Suggests cautious or pessimistic stance from institutions.

⚖️ Leverage & Risk

Debt-to-equity at 1.00: Indicates moderate to high financial risk.

Dividend Yield 0%: No income for holding through volatility.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

₹43–₹45

Wait until price dips closer to its recent low (₹37.4) and technical indicators show reversal signals.

RSI recovery to 50+ and MACD crossover would add confidence.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Resistance Zone: ₹62–₹66

Use as short-term target for trimming or full exit.

Stop-Loss: ₹49

Breaks below this level could signal further slide.

At this stage, RTNINDIA doesn’t offer strong swing trade prospects. Heavy losses, weak technical indicators, and valuation concerns create a risk-heavy setup. Better to monitor from the sidelines or redirect your swing trading capital toward cleaner technical setups. I can surface some promising alternatives across midcaps or infra—want to explore those next? 📊💡

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