RADICO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | RADICO | Market Cap | 37,057 Cr. | Current Price | 2,770 ₹ | High / Low | 3,695 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 69.8 | Book Value | 218 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.14 % | ROCE | 16.2 % |
| ROE | 13.6 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 3,010 ₹ | DMA 200 | 2,864 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.82 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.45 % | PAT Qtr | 162 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 139 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.6 | MACD | -100.0 | Volume | 13,54,495 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 7,43,049 |
| Low price | 1,846 ₹ | High price | 3,695 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 6.33 | Debt to equity | 0.21 |
| 52w Index | 50.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 69.1 % | EPS | 38.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.4 |
📊 Analysis: RADICO trades at a premium valuation (P/E 69.8 vs industry 31.4) with moderate efficiency metrics (ROCE 16.2%, ROE 13.6%). EPS at ₹38.7 is decent, and quarterly PAT improved (₹139 Cr → ₹162 Cr), showing earnings growth. The current price (₹2,770) is below both 50 DMA (₹3,010) and 200 DMA (₹2,864), reflecting technical weakness. RSI at 40.6 indicates the stock is approaching oversold territory, while MACD (-100.0) confirms bearish momentum. Despite strong profit variation (69.1%) and FII inflows (+1.82%), high PEG ratio (6.33) and stretched valuations limit upside potential. RADICO is a cautious swing trade candidate.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹2,700–₹2,730 (near support zone).
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider booking profits near ₹3,000–₹3,050 (50 DMA resistance). Exit below ₹2,650 if weakness persists to protect capital.
✅ Positive
- ROCE (16.2%) and ROE (13.6%) show moderate efficiency.
- Quarterly PAT growth (₹139 Cr → ₹162 Cr).
- Profit variation of 69.1% indicates strong earnings momentum.
- FII holdings increased (+1.82%).
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.21).
⚠️ Limitation
- Valuation premium (P/E 69.8 vs industry 31.4).
- PEG ratio of 6.33 signals expensive growth expectations.
- Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
- MACD indicates bearish trend.
📉 Company Negative News
- DII holdings decreased (-1.45%).
- Weak 52-week index at 50% shows average price performance.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT improved significantly.
- Strong trading volume above weekly average, showing investor interest.
- FII inflows support confidence in the stock.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 31.4 highlights RADICO’s premium valuation.
- Alcoholic beverages sector benefits from consumer demand and premiumization trends.
🔎 Conclusion
RADICO is fundamentally decent with moderate efficiency and strong profit growth, but stretched valuations and bearish technicals limit upside. It is a cautious swing trade candidate with entry near ₹2,700–₹2,730 and exit near ₹3,000–₹3,050. Risk management is essential due to premium valuation and weak momentum.