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RADICO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.2

Last Updated Time : 24 May 26, 10:34 pm

Technical Rating: 4.2

Stock Code RADICO Market Cap 47,552 Cr. Current Price 3,549 ₹ High / Low 3,695 ₹
Stock P/E 77.3 Book Value 243 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.11 % ROCE 24.6 %
ROE 20.7 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 3,193 ₹ DMA 200 2,947 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.19 % Chg in DII Hold 3.32 % PAT Qtr 175 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 162 Cr.
RSI 67.2 MACD 137 Volume 1,56,526 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,82,640
Low price 2,436 ₹ High price 3,695 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.73 Debt to equity 0.15
52w Index 88.4 % Qtr Profit Var 93.1 % EPS 45.0 ₹ Industry PE 32.2

📈 Trend Analysis: RADICO is trading at ₹3,549, well above both the 50 DMA (₹3,193) and 200 DMA (₹2,947), confirming a strong uptrend. The stock is close to its 52-week high of ₹3,695, reflecting bullish momentum with resistance nearby.

📊 RSI: At 67.2, RSI is approaching overbought territory, suggesting caution for fresh entries as short-term pullbacks are possible.

📉 MACD: Positive MACD (137) supports strong bullish momentum, aligning with price action above moving averages.

📌 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band, signaling potential consolidation or minor correction in the short term.

🔎 Volume Trends: Current volume (1,56,526) is significantly below the 1-week average (3,82,640), showing reduced participation at higher levels, which may precede consolidation.

💡 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum remains positive but stretched. Optimal entry zone lies near ₹3,450–₹3,500 support levels. Exit/resistance zone is around ₹3,680–₹3,700, where selling pressure may emerge.

📌 Market Phase: The stock is trending strongly, with signs of near-term consolidation due to overbought RSI and lower volumes.


Positive

  • 🚀 Strong uptrend above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
  • 💰 Quarterly PAT growth (₹175 Cr vs ₹162 Cr), up 93.1% YoY.
  • 📈 High ROCE (24.6%) and ROE (20.7%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • 🌍 DII holdings increased by 3.32%, showing strong domestic institutional confidence.
  • 🔒 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.15) ensures financial stability.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Elevated P/E ratio (77.3) compared to industry PE (32.2), suggesting premium valuation.
  • 📉 RSI near overbought zone may trigger short-term corrections.
  • 🔎 Lower trading volume near highs indicates cautious sentiment.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 FII holdings decreased by 2.19%, showing reduced foreign investor interest.
  • ⚠️ Premium valuation raises concerns about sustainability of current price levels.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Quarterly PAT growth highlights operational strength.
  • 💡 EPS of ₹45 supports long-term earnings visibility.
  • 🔒 Strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances investor confidence.

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry PE at 32.2, much lower than RADICO’s 77.3, highlighting premium valuation.
  • 📊 Sector growth driven by consumer demand and premium liquor market expansion.

Conclusion

⚖️ RADICO is trending strongly with solid fundamentals and investor confidence. However, overbought RSI and premium valuations suggest caution for fresh entries. Strategy: accumulate near ₹3,450–₹3,500 support zones and consider booking profits around ₹3,680–₹3,700 resistance. The stock is trending with potential consolidation before the next breakout.

Technical Analysis
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