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RADICO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 22 Mar 26, 12:05 pm

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code RADICO Market Cap 35,630 Cr. Current Price 2,660 ₹ High / Low 3,695 ₹
Stock P/E 67.2 Book Value 218 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.15 % ROCE 16.2 %
ROE 13.6 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,811 ₹ DMA 200 2,830 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.82 % Chg in DII Hold -1.45 % PAT Qtr 162 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 139 Cr.
RSI 44.0 MACD -25.2 Volume 4,17,369 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,92,490
Low price 2,132 ₹ High price 3,695 ₹ PEG Ratio 6.08 Debt to equity 0.21
52w Index 33.8 % Qtr Profit Var 69.1 % EPS 38.7 ₹ Industry PE 31.9

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock has corrected from its 52-week high (3,695 ₹) and is consolidating near mid-range levels.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (2,660 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (2,811 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,830 ₹), showing short-term weakness.
  • RSI: At 44.0, the stock is neutral, leaning toward oversold territory.
  • MACD: Negative (-25.2), confirming bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, suggesting possible rebound if buying volume increases.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (4,17,369) is slightly above 1-week average (3,92,490), showing steady participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term: Weak momentum, but RSI suggests nearing reversal zone.
  • Entry Zone: 2,600 ₹ – 2,660 ₹ (near support and oversold RSI).
  • Exit Zone: 2,800 ₹ – 2,850 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).
  • Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish bias; reversal possible if RSI rebounds and price sustains above 50 DMA.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (16.2%) and ROE (13.6%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.21) ensures financial stability.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (162 Cr. vs 139 Cr.) shows earnings improvement.
  • FII holding increased (+1.82%), showing foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High valuation: P/E 67.2 vs industry average 31.9.
  • Dividend yield is modest at 0.15%.
  • PEG ratio of 6.08 indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing technical weakness.
  • DII holding reduced (-1.45%), showing cautious domestic sentiment.
  • MACD negative, confirming bearish momentum.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth of 69.1% highlights strong operational performance.
  • EPS of 38.7 ₹ supports earnings strength.
  • Low debt levels provide financial flexibility.

🏭 Industry

  • Alcoholic beverages industry trades at PE 31.9, lower than Radico’s valuation.
  • Sector growth supported by premiumization and rising consumer demand.
  • Regulatory oversight and taxation remain challenges.

📝 Conclusion

  • Radico is fundamentally strong but technically consolidating with weak short-term momentum.
  • Stock is neutral, trading near support but below 50 DMA and 200 DMA resistance.
  • Best strategy: Accumulate near support (2,600–2,660 ₹) and book profits near resistance (2,800–2,850 ₹).
  • Long-term investors may hold for sector growth, while traders should wait for breakout above 50 DMA for stronger signals.

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