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RADICO - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 09:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.0

Stock Code RADICO Market Cap 45,835 Cr. Current Price 3,423 ₹ High / Low 3,695 ₹
Stock P/E 86.4 Book Value 218 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.12 % ROCE 16.2 %
ROE 13.6 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,954 ₹ DMA 200 2,862 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.19 % Chg in DII Hold 3.32 % PAT Qtr 162 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 139 Cr.
RSI 70.7 MACD 177 Volume 5,03,394 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,26,943
Low price 2,310 ₹ High price 3,695 ₹ PEG Ratio 7.83 Debt to equity 0.21
52w Index 80.4 % Qtr Profit Var 69.1 % EPS 38.7 ₹ Industry PE 40.4

📈 Optimal Buy Price: 3,410–3,430 ₹

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: 3,480–3,520 ₹

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Exit Zone: 3,370 ₹

Intraday Exit Guidance:

- Exit if price fails to sustain above 3,410 ₹ with weakening volume.

- Book profits near 3,480–3,520 ₹ if RSI crosses 72+ or momentum slows.

- Intraday exit if MACD momentum fades or RSI dips below 68 with declining participation.

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Positive

- Strong quarterly PAT growth (162 Cr. vs 139 Cr., +69.1%).

- EPS at 38.7 ₹ supports earnings base.

- ROCE (16.2%) and ROE (13.6%) show healthy efficiency.

- DII inflows (+3.32%) indicate domestic confidence.

- Trading well above 50 DMA (2,954 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,862 ₹).

Limitation

- RSI at 70.7 indicates overbought territory.

- High P/E (86.4) compared to industry average (40.4).

- FII holdings reduced (-2.19%), showing weaker foreign sentiment.

- Dividend yield negligible (0.12%).

- PEG ratio at 7.83 suggests limited growth relative to valuation.

Company Negative News

- Concerns around stretched valuations.

- Foreign investor sentiment weakening.

Company Positive News

- Strong earnings momentum and profit growth.

- Technical breakout supported by MACD (177).

- High liquidity ensures intraday trade viability.

Industry

- Industry PE at 40.4, much lower than company’s valuation.

- Alcoholic beverages sector benefiting from premiumization and demand growth.

- Competitive landscape with strong brand positioning.

Conclusion

RADICO is a strong intraday candidate with robust earnings growth and technical momentum, but valuations are stretched and RSI signals caution. Tactical trades are viable with strict stop-loss near 3,370 ₹ and profit exits around 3,480–3,520 ₹. Existing holders should trail stops and monitor RSI/volume for intraday exit signals.

Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay vs. peers like United Spirits and Globus Spirits, so you can benchmark RADICO’s intraday setup against other liquor sector leaders?

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