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RADICO - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:19 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.5

Stock Code RADICO Market Cap 36,783 Cr. Current Price 2,744 ₹ High / Low 3,695 ₹
Stock P/E 69.3 Book Value 218 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.15 % ROCE 16.2 %
ROE 13.6 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 3,031 ₹ DMA 200 2,866 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.82 % Chg in DII Hold -1.45 % PAT Qtr 162 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 139 Cr.
RSI 39.1 MACD -101 Volume 2,93,720 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,92,596
Low price 1,846 ₹ High price 3,695 ₹ PEG Ratio 6.28 Debt to equity 0.21
52w Index 48.6 % Qtr Profit Var 69.1 % EPS 38.7 ₹ Industry PE 31.4

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT at ₹162 Cr, up from ₹139 Cr, showing sequential growth. EPS at ₹38.7 indicates moderate earnings power.
  • Margins: ROE at 13.6% and ROCE at 16.2% reflect decent efficiency but not industry-leading.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity at 0.21 shows low leverage, enhancing financial stability.
  • Cash Flows: Healthy operating cash generation implied by consistent profitability and manageable debt.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 69.3, more than double the industry average of 31.4, suggesting significant overvaluation.
  • P/B Ratio: Current price ₹2,744 vs. book value ₹218 → ~12.6x, expensive relative to assets.
  • PEG Ratio: 6.28, very high, indicating valuation is stretched compared to growth prospects.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current valuation exceeds intrinsic worth, offering little margin of safety.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Radico Khaitan operates in alcoholic beverages, with strong brands in spirits and liquor segments.
  • Competitive advantage lies in brand recognition, distribution strength, and diversified product portfolio.
  • Business model benefits from rising premiumization trends in the liquor industry.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Safer accumulation range between ₹2,400 – ₹2,550, closer to DMA200 and support levels.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors betting on premium liquor demand, though current valuation is expensive. Best to accumulate on dips.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth from ₹139 Cr to ₹162 Cr.
  • Strong 52-week performance with 48.6% gain.
  • FII holding increased (+1.82%), showing foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E ratio compared to industry average.
  • PEG ratio of 6.28 suggests stretched valuation.
  • Dividend yield of 0.15% is negligible.

📉 Company Negative News

  • DII holding decreased (-1.45%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • Stock trading below DMA50 and DMA200 indicates weak momentum.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation of 69.1% YoY highlights strong growth momentum.
  • EPS at ₹38.7 reflects consistent earnings power.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.21) ensures financial resilience.

🏭 Industry

  • Alcoholic beverages sector trades at industry PE of 31.4, much lower than Radico’s 69.3, showing premium valuation.
  • Sector growth supported by premiumization and rising consumer demand.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Radico Khaitan is financially stable with strong brand presence and growth momentum.
  • Valuation is stretched, limiting near-term upside, but long-term prospects remain positive given premium liquor demand.
  • Best suited for long-term investors with entry around ₹2,400 – ₹2,550 offering a better margin of safety.

Would you like me to also prepare a comparative HTML snapshot of Radico versus United Spirits to highlight valuation and profitability differences in the liquor industry?

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