PTCIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | PTCIL | Market Cap | 26,683 Cr. | Current Price | 17,794 ₹ | High / Low | 19,440 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 675 | Book Value | 899 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 5.26 % |
| ROE | 3.59 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 17,780 ₹ | DMA 200 | 16,061 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.45 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.06 % | PAT Qtr | 8.16 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 8.18 Cr. |
| RSI | 48.9 | MACD | -1.49 | Volume | 21,277 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 16,724 |
| Low price | 9,756 ₹ | High price | 19,440 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 13.9 | Debt to equity | 0.03 |
| 52w Index | 83.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | -9.93 % | EPS | 26.4 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.8 |
📊 PTCIL shows very high valuation with weak fundamentals, making it a risky candidate for swing trading. The stock is currently at ₹17,794, near its 50 DMA (₹17,780) and above its 200 DMA (₹16,061), reflecting consolidation. RSI at 48.9 is neutral, while MACD at -1.49 indicates mild bearishness. With an extremely high P/E of 675 compared to industry PE of 25.8 and modest ROCE/ROE, caution is advised. Optimal entry would be in the ₹17,200–₹17,400 range. If already holding, exit near ₹18,800–₹19,000, close to resistance near the 52-week high.
✅ Positive
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.03 shows negligible leverage risk.
- EPS of ₹26.4 provides some earnings support.
- FII holdings increased (+0.45%), showing foreign investor interest.
- Stock trading above 200 DMA indicates long-term strength.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E of 675 compared to industry PE of 25.8.
- Weak ROCE (5.26%) and ROE (3.59%) reflect poor efficiency.
- Dividend yield at 0% offers no income return.
- PEG ratio of 13.9 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT declined slightly (₹8.16 Cr. vs ₹8.18 Cr.).
- Quarterly profit variance (-9.93%) highlights weak earnings momentum.
- DII holdings decreased (-0.06%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
📈 Company Positive News
- FII inflows (+0.45%) reflect foreign investor confidence.
- Stock trading above 200 DMA shows long-term bullish structure.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 25.8 is far lower than PTCIL’s 675, highlighting severe overvaluation.
- Sector outlook remains competitive, requiring efficiency and profitability improvements.
🔎 Conclusion
PTCIL is a weak swing candidate due to extreme overvaluation and modest fundamentals. Entry near ₹17,200–₹17,400 may be considered for speculative trades, but risk is high. Exit around ₹18,800–₹19,000 is advisable if already holding, as resistance is expected near the 52-week high. Strong risk management is essential given the high P/E and weak ROCE/ROE.