PHOENIXLTD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | PHOENIXLTD | Market Cap | 66,205 Cr. | Current Price | 1,854 ₹ | High / Low | 1,993 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 224 | Book Value | 154 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.13 % | ROCE | 6.92 % |
| ROE | 5.45 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,758 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,705 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.88 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.88 % | PAT Qtr | 58.5 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 63.8 Cr. |
| RSI | 62.6 | MACD | 23.5 | Volume | 2,98,077 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 6,71,226 |
| Low price | 1,402 ₹ | High price | 1,993 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 29.2 | Debt to equity | 0.12 |
| 52w Index | 76.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | -0.12 % | EPS | 7.57 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.3 |
Analysis: PHOENIXLTD shows moderate swing trade potential with bullish technicals but weak fundamentals. The RSI at 62.6 indicates near overbought conditions, while MACD at 23.5 confirms short-term bullish momentum. Current price (1,854 ₹) is above both 50 DMA (1,758 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,705 ₹), reflecting strong technical support. Valuation is extremely stretched with a P/E of 224 compared to industry average of 27.3, and PEG ratio at 29.2 highlights expensive growth. Fundamentals remain weak with ROCE at 6.92% and ROE at 5.45%. PAT declined sequentially (₹63.8 Cr → ₹58.5 Cr), showing earnings pressure despite strong price action.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 1,780–1,800 ₹, near DMA support.
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider profit booking near 1,950–1,970 ₹ resistance, or trail stop-loss below 1,750 ₹.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Price above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bullish trend.
- 📊 EPS of ₹7.57 provides earnings base.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.12, showing low leverage risk.
- 📈 DII holding increased (+0.88%), showing domestic institutional support.
⚠️ Limitation
- ⚠️ Extremely high P/E of 224 vs industry average of 27.3.
- 📉 Weak ROCE (6.92%) and ROE (5.45%).
- 📊 PEG ratio at 29.2, suggesting expensive growth valuation.
📉 Company Negative News
- 📉 PAT declined from ₹63.8 Cr. to ₹58.5 Cr. sequentially.
- ⚠️ FII holding decreased (-0.88%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- 📈 DII holding increased (+0.88%), reflecting domestic support.
- 📊 Quarterly profit variation relatively stable (-0.12%).
🏭 Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 27.3, much lower than PHOENIXLTD’s, highlighting valuation risk.
- 📊 Real estate and retail sector remains cyclical, influenced by consumption demand and property valuations.
🔎 Conclusion
⚖️ PHOENIXLTD is a speculative swing trade candidate with strong technicals but weak fundamentals. Entry near 1,780–1,800 ₹ offers better risk-reward, while exit should be considered around 1,950–1,970 ₹. High valuation and weak profitability limit upside, making it suitable only for short-term momentum traders.
Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparing PHOENIXLTD with peers in real estate and retail, or keep the focus strictly on PHOENIXLTD swing trade analysis?