PHOENIXLTD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.0

📊 Swing Trade Analysis: Phoenix Mills Ltd (PHOENIXLTD)

Phoenix Mills shows short-term technical strength but weak fundamentals and high valuation, making it a cautious candidate for swing trading. Traders may consider a short-term play if momentum continues, but risk management is essential.

✅ Positives

Technical Momentum

MACD: 26.7 → Bullish crossover, indicating upward momentum.

RSI: 65.8 → Strong, but nearing overbought territory.

Price above DMA50 (₹1,538) and DMA200 (₹1,561) → Confirmed short-term uptrend.

Volume Surge

Current volume (6.50L) > 1-week average (4.66L) → Increased trading interest.

Institutional Interest

FII & DII Holdings ↑ 0.13% each → Mild accumulation.

Low Debt

Debt-to-Equity: 0.14 → Financially stable.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Extremely High P/E: 201 vs Industry PE: 40.7 → Severely overvalued.

Low Profitability

ROCE: 6.50% and ROE: 5.52% → Weak capital efficiency.

EPS: ₹7.89 → Low earnings for current price.

PAT Qtr: ₹40.7 Cr. vs ₹58.6 Cr. → -23.0% decline.

PEG Ratio: 7.61 → Overpriced relative to growth.

Dividend Yield: 0.15% → Minimal income benefit.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹1,570–₹1,590

Slightly above DMA200, offering a lower-risk entry with technical support.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹1,700–₹1,740

Just below recent highs to capture swing gains.

Stop Loss: ₹1,520

Below DMA50 to manage downside risk.

This setup suits momentum-focused traders who can monitor price action closely and exit quickly if momentum fades. Let me know if you'd like help tracking MACD or RSI signals for timing your entry.

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