PHOENIXLTD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.8
| Stock Code | PHOENIXLTD | Market Cap | 60,129 Cr. | Current Price | 1,680 ₹ | High / Low | 1,993 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 206 | Book Value | 151 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.15 % | ROCE | 6.50 % |
| ROE | 5.52 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,767 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,675 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.40 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.21 % | PAT Qtr | 63.8 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 129 Cr. |
| RSI | 34.9 | MACD | -46.4 | Volume | 8,68,325 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 7,05,092 |
| Low price | 1,402 ₹ | High price | 1,993 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 7.78 | Debt to equity | 0.13 |
| 52w Index | 47.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 14.4 % | EPS | 7.48 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.2 |
📊 PHOENIXLTD shows weak fundamentals and bearish technicals, making it a high-risk candidate for swing trading. The stock is currently at ₹1,680, below its 50 DMA (₹1,767) and slightly above its 200 DMA (₹1,675), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 34.9 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -46.4 confirms bearish momentum. With a very high P/E (206 vs industry 31.2) and modest ROCE/ROE, valuation looks stretched. Optimal entry would be in the ₹1,600–₹1,650 range for speculative trades. If already holding, exit near ₹1,750–₹1,780, where resistance from the 50 DMA is expected.
✅ Positive
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.13 indicates low leverage risk.
- FII holdings increased (+0.40%), showing foreign investor interest.
- Strong trading volume above weekly average ensures liquidity.
- 52-week low at ₹1,402 provides a margin of safety for entry.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E of 206 compared to industry PE of 31.2.
- Weak ROCE (6.50%) and ROE (5.52%) reflect poor efficiency.
- Dividend yield of 0.15% offers negligible income return.
- PEG ratio of 7.78 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT declined sharply (₹129 Cr. to ₹63.8 Cr.).
- DII holdings decreased (-0.21%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
- MACD strongly negative (-46.4), confirming bearish momentum.
📈 Company Positive News
- FII inflows (+0.40%) reflect foreign investor confidence.
- Quarterly profit variance (+14.4% YoY) shows some improvement despite sequential decline.
- Stock trading near 200 DMA indicates potential support zone.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 31.2 is far lower than PHOENIXLTD’s 206, highlighting severe overvaluation.
- Real estate and retail sector remains cyclical, dependent on consumer demand and economic growth.
🔎 Conclusion
PHOENIXLTD is a weak swing candidate with stretched valuation and poor technicals. Entry near ₹1,600–₹1,650 may be considered for speculative trades, but risk is high. Exit around ₹1,750–₹1,780 is advisable if already holding, as resistance is expected near the 50 DMA. Strong risk management is essential due to high P/E and declining profitability.