PHOENIXLTD - Fundamental Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

📊 Fundamental Stock Analysis: Phoenix Mills Ltd (PHOENIXLTD) Rating: 3.9

🧾 Financial Strength & Quality

ROCE: 11.2% and ROE: 9.81% — moderate efficiency; not exceptional but steady for real estate-focused operations.

Debt-to-Equity: 0.45 — reasonable leverage for a capital-intensive sector; not overleveraged, which bodes well for sustainability.

EPS: ₹27.8 — earnings are stable with Qtr Profit Variation of 3.37%, indicating consistent cash generation.

PAT Trend: Minor sequential decline from ₹271 Cr to ₹241 Cr — warrants monitoring for future quarters.

Dividend Yield: 0.17% — minimal, consistent with reinvestment-heavy growth strategies in infrastructure assets.

💰 Valuation Snapshot & Technical Indicators

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E Ratio 55.0 Premium valuation relative to industry PE of 40.2

P/B Ratio ~5.17 Indicates high investor confidence

PEG Ratio 0.91 Acceptable valuation relative to growth

RSI 48.0 Neutral momentum; no overbought/oversold condition

MACD -19.9 Bearish bias; short-term caution advised

Price vs DMA ₹1,508 vs DMA50/200: ₹1,542 / ₹1,577 Trading below key averages; may suggest pullback zone

Volume Alert: Significantly lower than weekly average, signaling possible consolidation.

FII/DII Holding: Slight uptick (0.13% each), suggesting passive institutional interest.

🧠 Business Model & Competitive Edge

Core Focus: Premium retail-led mixed-use developments with strong rental yields.

Moat

Anchor properties in strategic locations offer consistent footfalls and tenant demand.

Long-term lease models ensure visibility of earnings.

Strong pipeline of upcoming malls and mixed-use developments.

📌 Investment Perspective

Suggested Entry Zone: ₹1,450–₹1,500, particularly if RSI dips toward 40 or price approaches 52-week support (~₹1,338).

Long-Term Holding Strategy

Suitable for patient investors betting on urban consumption growth.

Monitor for expansion execution, rental income growth, and debt containment.

Expect stock volatility in interest rate-sensitive macro cycles, given sector exposure.

Would you like me to compare PHOENIXLTD with another real estate play like DLF or Oberoi Realty to better gauge relative performance and valuation? I can break it down by metrics or even map it visually. Just say the word.

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