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PHOENIXLTD - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:58 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code PHOENIXLTD Market Cap 57,939 Cr. Current Price 1,619 ₹ High / Low 1,993 ₹
Stock P/E 198 Book Value 151 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.15 % ROCE 6.50 %
ROE 5.52 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,690 ₹ DMA 200 1,674 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.40 % Chg in DII Hold -0.21 % PAT Qtr 63.8 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 129 Cr.
RSI 45.8 MACD -41.9 Volume 5,49,522 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,00,061
Low price 1,402 ₹ High price 1,993 ₹ PEG Ratio 7.49 Debt to equity 0.13
52w Index 36.6 % Qtr Profit Var 14.4 % EPS 7.48 ₹ Industry PE 25.5

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock is trading below both 50-DMA (₹1,690) and 200-DMA (₹1,674), showing weakness and mild downtrend.
  • Moving Averages: Current price ₹1,619 is under both DMAs, confirming bearish bias.
  • RSI: 45.8 — neutral zone, leaning toward weakness.
  • MACD: -41.9 — bearish crossover, momentum weak.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, suggesting possible mean reversion.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (5.5L) slightly below 1-week average (6.0L), showing reduced participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, consolidation with bearish undertone.
  • Entry Zone: ₹1,402–₹1,619 (support levels).
  • Exit Zone: ₹1,674–₹1,690 (resistance levels).
  • Trend Status: Stock is consolidating with bearish bias.

✅ Positive

  • Low debt-to-equity (0.13), financially stable.
  • EPS of ₹7.48, consistent earnings base.
  • FII holdings increased (+0.40%), showing foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (198) compared to industry average (25.5), overvalued.
  • Weak ROCE (6.50%) and ROE (5.52%), poor efficiency.
  • PEG ratio of 7.49 suggests expensive valuation relative to growth.

📰 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT dropped sharply (₹63.8 Cr vs ₹129 Cr previous quarter).
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.21%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.

🌟 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variance +14.4% YoY shows some growth momentum.
  • FII stake increased, indicating foreign investor interest.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 25.5, far lower than company’s P/E (198), suggesting sector peers are more attractively priced.
  • Real estate and retail sector remains cyclical, with demand linked to consumption trends.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Stock is consolidating near support with weak momentum.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry near ₹1,402–₹1,619 with exit around ₹1,674–₹1,690.
  • Medium-term investors should be cautious due to high valuation and weak efficiency metrics.

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