PCBL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | PCBL | Market Cap | 12,054 Cr. | Current Price | 306 ₹ | High / Low | 437 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 49.2 | Book Value | 103 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.96 % | ROCE | 8.53 % |
| ROE | 6.29 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 289 ₹ | DMA 200 | 311 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.12 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.79 % | PAT Qtr | 47.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 44.7 Cr. |
| RSI | 59.8 | MACD | 4.35 | Volume | 9,61,899 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 18,03,282 |
| Low price | 226 ₹ | High price | 437 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -2.74 | Debt to equity | 0.65 |
| 52w Index | 37.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | -50.4 % | EPS | 5.99 ₹ | Industry PE | 51.3 |
Analysis: PCBL shows moderate swing trade potential. The RSI at 59.8 indicates bullish momentum, while MACD at 4.35 confirms short-term strength. Current price (306 ₹) is above the 50 DMA (289 ₹) but slightly below the 200 DMA (311 ₹), reflecting mixed medium-term trend. Valuation is stretched with a P/E of 49.2 compared to industry average of 51.3, while ROCE (8.53%) and ROE (6.29%) remain weak. Dividend yield of 1.96% provides some stability. PAT improved sequentially (₹47.0 Cr vs ₹44.7 Cr), but quarterly profit variation (-50.4%) raises caution.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 290–295 ₹, near 50 DMA support.
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider profit booking near 320–330 ₹ resistance, or trail stop-loss below 280 ₹.
✅ Positive
- 📈 PAT growth from ₹44.7 Cr. to ₹47.0 Cr. sequentially.
- 📊 EPS of ₹5.99 and book value of ₹103, showing balance sheet support.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 1.96%, providing income stability.
- 📈 DII holding increased (+0.79%), showing domestic institutional confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- ⚠️ ROCE (8.53%) and ROE (6.29%) are relatively weak.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.65, indicating moderate leverage risk.
- 📊 PEG ratio negative (-2.74), suggesting poor growth relative to valuation.
📉 Company Negative News
- 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.12%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- ⚠️ Quarterly profit variation at -50.4%, reflecting earnings volatility.
📈 Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT improvement quarter-on-quarter, albeit modest.
- 📊 Strong trading volumes, indicating liquidity for swing trades.
🏭 Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 51.3, in line with PCBL’s valuation.
- 📊 Specialty chemicals and carbon black sector remains cyclical, influenced by industrial demand and raw material costs.
🔎 Conclusion
⚖️ PCBL is a fair candidate for swing trading with moderate risk. Entry near 290–295 ₹ offers a favorable setup, while exit should be considered around 320–330 ₹. Weak fundamentals and profit volatility limit upside, making this more suitable for short-term trades rather than long-term holding.
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