OIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | OIL | Market Cap | 68,423 Cr. | Current Price | 421 ₹ | High / Low | 531 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 15.4 | Book Value | 298 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.73 % | ROCE | 10.5 % |
| ROE | 9.48 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 467 ₹ | DMA 200 | 455 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.13 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.01 % | PAT Qtr | 1,790 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 808 Cr. |
| RSI | 30.2 | MACD | -18.0 | Volume | 40,35,719 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 42,92,129 |
| Low price | 385 ₹ | High price | 531 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -1.17 | Debt to equity | 0.30 |
| 52w Index | 24.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 12.4 % | EPS | 27.4 ₹ | Industry PE | 48.6 |
Analysis: OIL shows moderate swing trade potential. The RSI at 30.2 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -18.0 confirms bearish momentum. Current price (421 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (467 ₹) and 200 DMA (455 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness. Valuation is attractive with a P/E of 15.4 compared to industry average of 48.6, and dividend yield of 2.73% adds investor appeal. Fundamentals are decent with ROCE at 10.5% and ROE at 9.48%. Quarterly PAT surged to 1,790 Cr. from 808 Cr., showing strong sequential growth despite overall bearish technicals.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 405–415 ₹, closer to support near 385 ₹.
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider profit booking near 455–465 ₹ (200 DMA zone), or trail stop-loss below 385 ₹.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong PAT growth (1,790 Cr vs 808 Cr).
- 💰 Dividend yield of 2.73% provides steady returns.
- 📊 Attractive valuation (P/E 15.4 vs industry 48.6).
- 📉 Manageable debt-to-equity ratio (0.30).
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 RSI at 30.2 indicates oversold but weak momentum.
- ⚠️ MACD at -18.0 shows bearish trend continuation.
- 📊 Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
📉 Company Negative News
- 📉 Technical weakness with price below key moving averages.
- ⚠️ DII holding decreased (-0.01%).
📈 Company Positive News
- 📈 Sequential PAT growth more than doubled.
- 📊 FII holding increased (+0.13%), showing foreign investor interest.
🏭 Industry
- ⛽ Industry P/E at 48.6, much higher than OIL’s 15.4, suggesting undervaluation.
- 📊 Energy sector remains cyclical, influenced by global crude oil prices and demand.
🔎 Conclusion
⚖️ OIL is a moderately attractive swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals but weak technical momentum. Entry near 405–415 ₹ offers better risk-reward, while exit should be considered around 455–465 ₹. The undervaluation compared to peers and strong PAT growth support medium-term potential, but traders should remain cautious due to bearish signals.
Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparison with peers like ONGC and BPCL for benchmarking, or keep the focus strictly on OIL swing trade analysis?