OIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.3

📊 OIL offers a technically supported swing setup near DMA zones with valuation comfort and sector tailwinds. Entry is ideal around ₹418–₹425. If already held, consider exit near ₹510–₹530 unless momentum accelerates.

Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• Current Price: ₹431
• DMA 50 / 200: ₹417 / ₹425
• RSI: 59.3 (Neutral zone)
• MACD: 5.43 (Bullish crossover)
• PEG Ratio: 0.80 (Reasonable growth valuation)
• ROCE / ROE: 15.2% / 13.5%
• EPS: ₹33.6
• Volume: 12.9L vs Avg 25.8L

Positive

• MACD bullish crossover and RSI in mid-zone—momentum building
• Trading near DMA support—low-risk entry zone
• PEG ratio of 0.80 and P/E of 12.8 vs industry PE of 14.0—valuation comfort
• ROCE and ROE above 13%—efficient capital usage
• Dividend yield of 2.67% adds downside cushion

Limitation

• Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹1,591 Cr. to ₹813 Cr.—profit contraction
• Volume below average—momentum confirmation pending
• FII holding declined by 0.6%—sentiment caution

Company Negative News

• Q2 earnings impacted by lower crude realization and higher operating costs

  Goodreturns

Company Positive News

• OIL incorporated a green energy subsidiary—long-term diversification

  Deloitte

• ESG strategy initiatives launched to align with global energy transition goals

  Deloitte

Industry

• Oil & Gas sector gained 2% in early November amid India-US trade optimism

  Goodreturns

• Crude oil forecast shows stable pricing with moderate upside in Q4

  DailyForex

• Industry PE: 14.0 vs OIL PE: 12.8—valuation remains attractive

Conclusion

• Entry Zone: ₹418–₹425 (near DMA 50/200)
• Exit Zone: ₹510–₹530 (resistance near 52w high)
• Rating: 4.3 — swing candidate with valuation support, technical setup, and sector tailwinds

Sources

Goodreturns

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