OIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.2
| Stock Code | OIL | Market Cap | 79,069 Cr. | Current Price | 486 ₹ | High / Low | 522 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 16.9 | Book Value | 298 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.36 % | ROCE | 15.2 % |
| ROE | 13.5 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 439 ₹ | DMA 200 | 428 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.02 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.23 % | PAT Qtr | 1,044 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 813 Cr. |
| RSI | 63.6 | MACD | 20.2 | Volume | 34,81,222 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,33,47,711 |
| Low price | 322 ₹ | High price | 522 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.05 | Debt to equity | 0.28 |
| 52w Index | 82.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | -43.1 % | EPS | 28.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.6 |
📊 OIL shows strong fundamentals with supportive technical indicators, making it a good candidate for swing trading. The stock is currently at ₹486, trading above both its 50 DMA (₹439) and 200 DMA (₹428), reflecting bullish momentum. RSI at 63.6 is moderately strong, while MACD at 20.2 confirms upward momentum. Despite a sharp quarterly profit variance (-43.1%), the overall fundamentals remain solid. Optimal entry would be in the ₹470–₹480 range. If already holding, exit near ₹515–₹520, close to the 52-week high resistance.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (15.2%) and ROE (13.5%) indicate efficient capital use.
- EPS of ₹28.7 supports valuation strength.
- Dividend yield of 2.36% adds investor appeal.
- PEG ratio of 1.05 suggests fair valuation relative to growth.
- DII holdings increased (+0.23%), showing domestic institutional support.
⚠️ Limitation
- Quarterly profit variance (-43.1%) indicates earnings volatility.
- FII holdings slightly decreased (-0.02%), showing reduced foreign interest.
- Trading volume below weekly average suggests lower short-term participation.
- RSI at 63.6 is approaching overbought territory, limiting upside potential.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit decline from ₹1,813 Cr. to ₹1,044 Cr. (-43.1%).
- Slight reduction in FII holdings (-0.02%).
📈 Company Positive News
- EPS of ₹28.7 and strong ROCE/ROE highlight operational efficiency.
- Dividend yield of 2.36% provides steady returns.
- DII inflows (+0.23%) show confidence from domestic institutions.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 18.6 is slightly higher than OIL’s 16.9, suggesting undervaluation.
- Energy sector demand remains strong, supported by global oil and gas trends.
🔎 Conclusion
OIL is a strong swing candidate with solid fundamentals and bullish technicals. Entry near ₹470–₹480 offers a margin of safety. Exit around ₹515–₹520 is advisable if already holding, as resistance is expected near the 52-week high. Despite earnings volatility, the stock remains undervalued compared to industry peers, making it favorable for swing trades with proper risk management.