OIL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Analysis: OIL is trading at ₹405, below both DMA 50 (₹415) and DMA 200 (₹423), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 35.9 shows near oversold conditions, while MACD (-6.41) remains negative, confirming bearish bias. Volume (24.9 lakh) is above average (11.6 lakh), showing strong participation. Fundamentals remain supportive with decent ROE (13.5%), ROCE (15.2%), and dividend yield (2.84%), but quarterly profit variation (-43.1%) raises caution. Intraday potential exists for speculative bounce trades with strict risk management.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹402–₹405 (near current support)

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹412–₹415 (short-term bounce target)

🛑 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹398 (below immediate support)

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹402 or if RSI drops below 35 with MACD continuing negative. Consider booking profits if price approaches ₹412–₹415 with volume confirmation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Dividend yield of 2.84% supports investor sentiment
• 📊 EPS at ₹28.7 provides valuation strength
• 📈 Quarterly PAT improved sequentially (₹813 Cr. → ₹1,044 Cr.)
• 📊 DII holding increased by 0.80%, showing domestic investor confidence
• 📉 PEG ratio at 0.88 indicates fair growth-adjusted valuation

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Price trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms weak trend
• 📊 RSI near oversold but momentum remains weak
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.28 is moderately high

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly profit variation declined sharply (-43.1%)
• 📊 FII holding reduced by -0.60%, showing foreign investor caution

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Sequential PAT growth shows operational improvement
• 📊 Domestic institutional investors increased stake (+0.80%)

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 18.6 vs OIL’s 14.1, suggesting undervaluation
• ⛽ Energy sector outlook tied to global crude prices and government policies

📌 Conclusion

OIL shows moderate intraday potential today. Fundamentals remain supportive with dividend yield and undervaluation, but technical indicators are weak. Traders may attempt entries near ₹402–₹405 with stop-loss at ₹398 and profit booking around ₹412–₹415. Conservative traders should avoid intraday positions until momentum indicators turn positive.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing OIL with other energy sector stocks, so you can identify relative intraday strength opportunities?