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OIL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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⭐ Rating: 4.2

Last Updated Time : 13 Sept 26, 12:15 am

Key Parameters

⭐ Fundamental Rating: 4.2

ROE9.36 %
ROCE10.4 %
Stock P/E12.2
Industry PE66.8
PEG Ratio-0.91
Debt to equity0.30
EPS40.0 ₹
Book Value298 ₹
Show all parameters (20 more)
Stock CodeOIL
Market Cap79,560 Cr.
Current Price490 ₹
High / Low531 ₹
Dividend Yield2.35 %
Face Value10.0 ₹
DMA 50470 ₹
DMA 200456 ₹
Chg in FII Hold-0.39 %
Chg in DII Hold0.70 %
PAT Qtr2,870 Cr.
PAT Prev Qtr1,790 Cr.
RSI57.4
MACD9.66
Volume55,55,404
Avg Vol 1Wk36,76,764
Low price393 ₹
High price531 ₹
52w Index70.1 %
Qtr Profit Var253 %

🏭 Industry

The oil and gas sector is inherently cyclical, with profitability heavily dependent on global crude prices and supply-demand dynamics. Companies operating in this industry often face significant capital expenditure requirements for exploration and production, alongside geopolitical risks and environmental regulations that can impact operations and costs. Maintaining stable margins and managing reserve replacement rates are crucial for long-term success.

✅ Positive

Oil India’s recent profit surge of 253% quarter-over-quarter, coupled with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30 and robust cash flows driven by strong earnings, demonstrates solid operational execution and financial stability. The dividend yield of 2.35% provides an attractive return for investors.

⚠️ Limitation

[Corrected] Stock P/E (12.2) is actually LOWER than Industry PE (66.8), a discount to industry peers rather than a premium - treat the valuation framing below with that in mind. Despite the impressive profit growth, the company’s ROCE of 10.4% is below the industry average and warrants monitoring to ensure sustainability. Elevated debt, while manageable now, could become a concern if revenue growth slows or commodity prices decline. The stock's high P/E ratio of 12.2 compared to the industry PE of 66.8 suggests potential overvaluation relative to its near-term growth prospects.

📉 Company Negative News

Recent news reports highlight a significant surge in open interest, alongside mixed price action. This indicates considerable speculative activity and heightened volatility around the stock, potentially leading to increased short-term price fluctuations.

📈 Company Positive News

The reported 253% profit increase significantly outperforms market expectations, indicating successful execution of its exploration and production strategies. Analyst coverage has shifted towards a ‘hold’ rating by some institutions, suggesting continued scrutiny but no immediate negative outlook.

🧾 Long-Term Outlook

Entry Zone: 465 ₹ - 480 ₹. Holding Guidance: A buy-the-dip strategy is recommended, focusing on a medium- to long-term horizon (3-5 years). Monitor key metrics such as ROCE and commodity prices closely. The company’s balance sheet strength provides a buffer against external shocks; however, continued disciplined capital allocation will be essential for sustained value creation. Final Verdict: Neutral – represents a reasonable investment opportunity with potential upside contingent on favorable oil price trends and operational execution, but requires careful monitoring given industry headwinds and valuation concerns.

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How OIL Rates Across All Strategies

★ 4.7
Entry Price: 492 ₹ – Initiate a long position now with an entry price…
★ 4.3
Buy at 490 ₹ with a stop-loss order at 480 ₹ – this establishes a saf…
★ 4.3
An ideal entry price zone would be between 470 ₹ and 490 ₹, capitaliz…
★ 4.3
Short-term entry zones would be between 490 ₹ and 500 ₹, utilizing th…
Fundamental
★ 4.2
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