OBEROIRLTY - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📉 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Current Price (₹1,665) is below both 50 DMA (₹1,800) and 200 DMA (₹1,772) — confirms short-term downtrend.

RSI (30.0) — at oversold threshold, potential for bounce but no confirmation yet.

MACD (−43.7) — strongly negative, bearish momentum.

Volume: Well below 1-week average — indicates weak participation and lack of buying interest.

📊 Fundamental Overview

Valuation

P/E (29.4) vs Industry P/E (40.2) — relatively undervalued.

PEG Ratio (1.05) — fair valuation for growth.

EPS (₹56.7) — solid earnings base.

Book Value (₹432) — price trades at ~3.85× book value, reasonable for real estate.

Profitability

ROCE (17.7%) and ROE (14.7%) — decent but not exceptional.

Dividend Yield (0.48%) — low, typical for growth-oriented real estate firms.

Quarterly Performance

PAT Qtr: ₹421 Cr vs Prev Qtr: ₹433 Cr — slight decline (−27.9% YoY), weak earnings momentum.

Debt-to-Equity (0.21) — low leverage, financially sound.

FII/DII Holding

FII down (−0.60%), DII up (+0.61%) — mixed institutional sentiment.

⚠️ Swing Trade Strategy

Not ideal for immediate swing trade due to

Bearish technicals

Weak volume

Oversold RSI without reversal

Watchlist Entry Zone: ₹1,620–₹1,650 (if RSI rises above 35 and MACD flattens)

Target Exit (if reversal confirmed): ₹1,780–₹1,820 (near 50 DMA)

Stop Loss: ₹1,590 (below recent support zone)

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Hold cautiously if you're expecting a technical rebound.

Exit if price breaks below ₹1,590 or RSI dips below 28 with MACD widening negatively.

Re-enter only on confirmation of trend reversal (RSI > 35 and MACD crossover).

This stock has decent fundamentals and valuation, but current technicals suggest weakness. It’s better suited for watchlist status until signs of recovery emerge.

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