NCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.1
| Stock Code | NCC | Market Cap | 8,957 Cr. | Current Price | 143 ₹ | High / Low | 242 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 14.0 | Book Value | 121 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.54 % | ROCE | 20.1 % |
| ROE | 10.7 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 151 ₹ | DMA 200 | 183 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.38 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.35 % | PAT Qtr | 106 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 102 Cr. |
| RSI | 42.8 | MACD | -1.96 | Volume | 42,08,335 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 35,96,516 |
| Low price | 135 ₹ | High price | 242 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.52 | Debt to equity | 0.28 |
| 52w Index | 7.06 % | Qtr Profit Var | -42.6 % | EPS | 9.37 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.5 |
Analysis: NCC trades at 143 ₹, below both its 50 DMA (151 ₹) and 200 DMA (183 ₹), reflecting weak momentum. RSI at 42.8 suggests neutral-to-weak strength, while MACD (-1.96) confirms bearish sentiment. The P/E of 14.0 is slightly below the industry average (15.5), indicating fair valuation. Fundamentals are decent with ROCE (20.1%) and low debt-to-equity (0.28), but ROE (10.7%) is modest. Quarterly PAT (106 Cr. vs 102 Cr.) shows stability, though profit variation (-42.6%) raises concerns. Overall, NCC is a moderate swing trade candidate with cautious entry.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 138–142 ₹, near support levels and close to the 52-week low of 135 ₹.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 150–155 ₹ (50 DMA resistance zone). Place a stop-loss below 135 ₹ to protect against downside risk.
✅ Positive
- ROCE of 20.1% indicates efficient capital use.
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.28) ensures financial stability.
- P/E of 14.0 is slightly below industry average, suggesting fair valuation.
- Dividend yield of 1.54% provides income support.
⚠️ Limitation
- Weak technical indicators (RSI neutral, MACD negative).
- ROE of 10.7% is modest compared to peers.
- Stock trades below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing bearish trend.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation (-42.6%) highlights declining momentum.
- FII holdings decreased (-1.38%) and DII holdings decreased (-1.35%).
📈 Company Positive News
- PAT improved slightly (106 Cr. vs 102 Cr.), showing stability.
- Strong balance sheet with low debt supports resilience.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 15.5, making NCC fairly valued.
- Construction and infrastructure sector is cyclical, driven by government projects and economic growth.
🔎 Conclusion
NCC shows fair valuation and stable fundamentals but weak technicals, making it a moderate swing trade candidate. Entry near 138–142 ₹ is safer, with exit around 150–155 ₹. Stop-loss at 135 ₹ is recommended. While long-term prospects remain tied to infrastructure demand, short-term trading opportunities are limited due to weak momentum and declining institutional interest.