NCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | NCC | Market Cap | 10,449 Cr. | Current Price | 166 ₹ | High / Low | 242 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 16.3 | Book Value | 121 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.32 % | ROCE | 20.1 % |
| ROE | 10.7 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 154 ₹ | DMA 200 | 176 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.62 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.10 % | PAT Qtr | 106 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 102 Cr. |
| RSI | 66.5 | MACD | 5.37 | Volume | 28,91,984 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 39,25,400 |
| Low price | 130 ₹ | High price | 242 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.61 | Debt to equity | 0.28 |
| 52w Index | 32.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | -42.6 % | EPS | 9.37 ₹ | Industry PE | 19.0 |
NCC shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI (66.5) and MACD (5.37) indicate bullish momentum. The current price (₹166) is above the 50 DMA (₹154) but below the 200 DMA (₹176), suggesting short-term strength but long-term resistance. Fundamentals are decent with ROCE (20.1%) and ROE (10.7%), while valuation (P/E 16.3 vs industry 19.0) is fair. However, quarterly profit variation (-42.6%) raises caution.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹160–165, near 50 DMA support.
📤 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider profit booking near ₹180–185, or exit if price falls below ₹155 support.
🌟 Positive
- Reasonable valuation (P/E 16.3 vs industry 19.0).
- Strong ROCE (20.1%) indicates efficient capital use.
- FII (+0.62%) and DII (+1.10%) holdings increased, showing investor confidence.
- PEG ratio of 0.61 suggests undervaluation relative to growth.
⚠️ Limitation
- Quarterly profit variation (-42.6%) highlights earnings volatility.
- ROE (10.7%) is modest compared to peers.
- Stock trading below 200 DMA shows weak long-term trend.
📰 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT growth slowed (₹106 Cr vs ₹102 Cr), reflecting limited earnings momentum.
📈 Company Positive News
- Stable fundamentals with strong ROCE and fair valuation.
- Healthy trading volumes (28.9 lakh vs avg 39.2 lakh) indicate active participation.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 19.0 shows NCC trades at a slight discount.
- Construction and infrastructure sector is cyclical, driven by government projects and capital expenditure trends.
✅ Conclusion
NCC is a fair candidate for swing trading with entry near ₹160–165 and exit around ₹180–185. Strong fundamentals and valuation discount support upside potential, but earnings volatility and long-term resistance require cautious risk management. Suitable for short-term traders with disciplined stop-loss strategy.