NCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Swing Trade Analysis: NCC Ltd.

NCC shows fair potential for swing trading, supported by reasonable valuation and solid fundamentals. However, weak technical momentum and declining volume suggest caution in timing the entry.

✅ Strengths

Valuation & Profitability

P/E (17.4) vs Industry PE (20.6): Slightly undervalued.

PEG Ratio (0.65): Attractive growth-adjusted valuation.

ROCE (20.1%) and ROE (10.7%): Healthy capital efficiency.

EPS (₹12.0) and Book Value (₹118): Solid earnings base.

Debt-to-Equity (0.20): Low leverage.

DII Holding Increase (+1.90%): Positive domestic sentiment.

⚠️ Weaknesses

MACD (-1.23): Bearish crossover — signals weak momentum.

Volume (16.9L) far below 1-week average (53.1L): Indicates fading trader interest.

Price below 200 DMA (₹230): Long-term trend still under pressure.

FII Holding Decline (-1.09%): Foreign investors pulling back.

Quarterly PAT Decline (-5.3%): Earnings contraction.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹205–₹210

A dip near this level offers a better risk-reward setup, especially if MACD starts to reverse and volume picks up.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit Price: ₹225–₹230

Near 200 DMA and psychological resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹200

Just below recent support and volume base.

Time Horizon: 1–2 weeks, depending on technical recovery.

This setup suits value-oriented traders who are comfortable with slower momentum and can wait for a technical breakout. Let me know if you'd like help tracking this trade or scanning for stronger setups.

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