NCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | NCC | Market Cap | 9,616 Cr. | Current Price | 153 ₹ | High / Low | 248 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 13.4 | Book Value | 121 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.44 % | ROCE | 20.1 % |
| ROE | 10.7 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 159 ₹ | DMA 200 | 195 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.38 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.35 % | PAT Qtr | 101 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 190 Cr. |
| RSI | 52.3 | MACD | -3.29 | Volume | 30,05,997 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 28,40,128 |
| Low price | 138 ₹ | High price | 248 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.50 | Debt to equity | 0.28 |
| 52w Index | 13.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | -37.1 % | EPS | 11.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.1 |
📊 NCC shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 153 ₹, trading below both its 50 DMA (159 ₹) and 200 DMA (195 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 52.3 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at -3.29 suggests mild bearish undertone. Fundamentals are fair with ROCE at 20.1% and EPS at 11.0 ₹, but ROE at 10.7% is modest. Valuations are attractive (P/E 13.4 vs industry 17.1, PEG 0.50), though quarterly profit decline (-37.1%) and reduced institutional holdings weigh on sentiment.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 145–150 ₹ (near support zone)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 165–170 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance), or exit if price falls below 142 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 💡 Attractive valuation with P/E of 13.4 vs industry 17.1.
- 📈 PEG ratio of 0.50 suggests undervaluation relative to growth.
- 📊 ROCE at 20.1% indicates efficient capital use.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 1.44% adds investor confidence.
- 📦 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 shows manageable leverage.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak momentum.
- 📉 ROE at 10.7% is modest compared to peers.
- 🔻 EPS of 11.0 ₹ is limited relative to valuation potential.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT declined sharply (190 Cr. → 101 Cr.).
- 🚫 FII holding decreased by -1.38% and DII holding by -1.35%.
Company Positive News
- 📊 Valuation remains attractive compared to industry peers.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 1.44% supports investor sentiment.
- 📈 Volume slightly above weekly average, showing active participation.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 17.1 indicates sector is moderately valued.
- 📦 Construction and infrastructure sector benefits from government-led projects and urban expansion.
Conclusion
⚖️ NCC is a fairly valued company with decent fundamentals but faces short-term weakness due to declining profits and reduced institutional interest. Entry near 145–150 ₹ offers a cautious swing setup, with exit targets around 165–170 ₹. Risk management is essential if price breaks below 142 ₹.