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NCC - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

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Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Current Price (₹223) is slightly below 50 DMA (₹225) and 200 DMA (₹236) — short-term weakness, but near support.

RSI (46.8) — neutral zone, potential for reversal.

MACD (-1.61) — bearish crossover, signals caution.

Volume: Above 1-week average — rising interest, could support a bounce.

📈 Fundamental Overview

Valuation

P/E (17.1) vs Industry P/E (23.8) — undervalued.

PEG Ratio (0.48) — attractive, suggests good growth at a fair price.

Profitability

ROCE (22.1%) — strong operational efficiency.

ROE (11.7%) — moderate, room for improvement.

EPS (₹13.1) — decent earnings base.

Quarterly Performance

PAT Qtr: ₹254 Cr vs Prev Qtr: ₹193 Cr — solid growth, though Qtr Profit Var: -2.14% indicates some inconsistency.

Dividend Yield (0.99%) — modest.

Debt-to-Equity (0.22) — low leverage, financially stable.

FII/DII Holding

FII down (-1.09%) — cautious foreign sentiment.

DII up (+1.90%) — strong domestic accumulation.

✅ Swing Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹218–₹222 (near support and RSI base).

Target Exit Price: ₹245–₹255 (resistance zone below 200 DMA).

Stop Loss: ₹210 (below recent swing low and psychological support).

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Hold with a target of ₹245–₹255.

Exit if price falls below ₹210 or MACD continues to weaken with declining volume.

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