NCC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for NCC based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | NCC | Market Cap | 9,731 Cr. | Current Price | 155 ₹ | High / Low | 237 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 15.7 | Book Value | 121 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.42 % | ROCE | 15.2 % |
| ROE | 8.26 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 152 ₹ | DMA 200 | 169 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.62 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.10 % | PAT Qtr | 220 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 106 Cr. |
| RSI | 57.2 | MACD | -0.65 | Volume | 12,59,748 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 21,97,732 |
| Low price | 130 ₹ | High price | 237 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.10 | Debt to equity | 0.30 |
| 52w Index | 23.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | -9.05 % | EPS | 9.19 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.4 |
NCC shows moderate swing trade potential. The current price of 155 ₹ is above the 50 DMA (152 ₹) but below the 200 DMA (169 ₹), reflecting short-term strength but medium-term weakness. RSI at 57.2 indicates balanced momentum, while MACD at -0.65 suggests mild bearish undertones. Fundamentals are fair with ROCE at 15.2% and ROE at 8.26%. Valuation is reasonable (P/E 15.7 vs industry 17.4), though PEG ratio of 3.10 suggests limited growth prospects. Liquidity is stable with volumes near weekly averages.
Optimal Entry Price: 145–150 ₹, closer to support near 130 ₹.
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 165–170 ₹, or exit if price falls below 140 ₹ with volume confirmation.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Reasonable P/E (15.7) compared to industry average (17.4).
- 💰 Dividend yield of 1.42% provides income support.
- 📊 PAT growth (220 Cr. vs 106 Cr.) shows improvement in profitability.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30 indicates manageable leverage.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 ROE (8.26%) and ROCE (15.2%) are modest compared to peers.
- 📊 PEG ratio of 3.10 suggests limited growth potential.
- 📉 Price below 200 DMA indicates weak medium-term momentum.
- 📉 EPS of 9.19 ₹ is modest relative to valuation.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly profit variation of -9.05% shows earnings inconsistency.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Increase in FII holding (+0.62%) shows foreign investor confidence.
- 📊 Increase in DII holding (+1.10%) adds domestic institutional support.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 17.4 is slightly higher than NCC, suggesting NCC is fairly valued.
- 📈 Construction and infrastructure sector demand is cyclical but supported by government-led projects.
📌 Conclusion
⚖️ NCC is a moderately good swing trade candidate with fair valuations and improving profits, but weak momentum and modest returns limit upside. Entry near 145–150 ₹ offers a safer setup. If already holding, aim to exit around 165–170 ₹ or cut losses below 140 ₹. The trade requires caution, but improving PAT and institutional support provide some confidence for a short-term swing.
Would you like me to extend this with a peer benchmarking against companies like NBCC and NLCINDIA to highlight relative swing trade strength?