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NCC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:24 am

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code NCC Market Cap 10,287 Cr. Current Price 164 ₹ High / Low 242 ₹
Stock P/E 16.1 Book Value 121 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.34 % ROCE 20.1 %
ROE 10.7 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 153 ₹ DMA 200 176 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.62 % Chg in DII Hold 1.10 % PAT Qtr 106 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 102 Cr.
RSI 64.0 MACD 5.33 Volume 23,22,578 Avg Vol 1Wk 39,36,668
Low price 130 ₹ High price 242 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.60 Debt to equity 0.28
52w Index 30.2 % Qtr Profit Var -42.6 % EPS 9.37 ₹ Industry PE 18.5

📈 Chart & Trend: NCC is trading above its 50 DMA (153 ₹) but below its 200 DMA (176 ₹), indicating short-term strength with medium-term caution. RSI at 64.0 suggests mildly overbought conditions, while MACD at 5.33 confirms bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands are moderately expanded, pointing to active volatility and continuation of trend.

🔎 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is positive with price holding above support. Strong support lies at 158–160 ₹, while resistance is seen at 172–176 ₹. Entry zone: 158–162 ₹. Exit zone: 172–176 ₹.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (23.2 lakh) is below the 1-week average (39.3 lakh), indicating reduced participation and possible consolidation despite bullish signals.

Positive

  • Strong ROCE (20.1%) highlights efficient capital allocation.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.28) ensures financial stability.
  • FII (+0.62%) and DII (+1.10%) inflows reflect institutional confidence.

Limitation

  • Quarterly PAT decline (106 Cr. vs 102 Cr.) and profit variation (-42.6%) raise earnings concerns.
  • Stock trading below 200 DMA signals medium-term resistance.
  • Volume below average weakens momentum strength.

Company Negative News

  • Weak quarterly profit growth and declining earnings trend.

Company Positive News

  • Institutional investor confidence with both FII and DII inflows.
  • EPS at 9.37 ₹ supports valuation stability.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 18.5 indicates sector is moderately valued compared to NCC’s fair pricing (P/E 16.1).
  • Construction and infrastructure sector continues to benefit from government-led projects.

Conclusion

NCC is trending upward with short-term bullish signals supported by institutional inflows. However, weak quarterly profits and below-average volume limit conviction. Best suited for cautious accumulation near 158–162 ₹ with profit booking around 172–176 ₹.

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