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NCC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 11:40 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

Stock Code NCC Market Cap 9,228 Cr. Current Price 147 ₹ High / Low 242 ₹
Stock P/E 14.4 Book Value 121 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.50 % ROCE 20.1 %
ROE 10.7 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 152 ₹ DMA 200 183 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.38 % Chg in DII Hold -1.35 % PAT Qtr 106 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 102 Cr.
RSI 48.5 MACD -1.85 Volume 31,99,921 Avg Vol 1Wk 32,67,173
Low price 135 ₹ High price 242 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.54 Debt to equity 0.28
52w Index 10.9 % Qtr Profit Var -42.6 % EPS 9.37 ₹ Industry PE 15.2

📊 Analysis: NCC is trading at ₹147, below both its 50 DMA (₹152) and 200 DMA (₹183), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 48.5 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (-1.85) shows mild bearish bias. Intraday volume (31.9 lakh) is slightly below the 1-week average (32.6 lakh), suggesting moderate participation. Fundamentals are fair with ROCE 20.1% and ROE 10.7%, but profit variation (-42.6%) raises concerns. Valuation is reasonable with P/E 14.4 vs industry 15.2 and PEG ratio 0.54.

💰 Optimal Buy Price: Intraday entry may be considered near ₹145–147 if momentum stabilizes.

🎯 Exit Levels:

- Profit-taking: ₹150 – ₹152 (near-term resistance)

- Stop-loss: ₹143 (below intraday support)

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit should be considered if price fails to hold above ₹145 or if MACD weakness deepens. Watch for volume spikes near ₹150–152 to book profits intraday.


Positive

  • Reasonable valuation with P/E (14.4) close to industry average (15.2).
  • Strong ROCE (20.1%) indicates efficient capital use.
  • Dividend yield at 1.50% provides investor returns.
  • Book value of ₹121 supports price stability.

Limitation

  • Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects bearish sentiment.
  • ROE (10.7%) is modest compared to peers.
  • Volume slightly below average, indicating weaker intraday participation.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit variation (-42.6%) shows earnings volatility.
  • FII holding decreased (-1.38%) and DII holding decreased (-1.35%), showing reduced institutional confidence.

Company Positive News

  • PAT improved slightly from ₹102 Cr. to ₹106 Cr.
  • PEG ratio of 0.54 suggests growth potential relative to valuation.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 15.2 is close to NCC’s P/E, making valuation fair.
  • Construction and infrastructure sector is cyclical, dependent on government projects and execution efficiency.

Conclusion

⚖️ NCC shows neutral-to-weak short-term momentum with MACD in negative territory and price below key moving averages. Intraday traders may consider entries near ₹145–147 with profit targets around ₹150–152. A tight stop-loss at ₹143 is recommended. Conservative traders should wait for confirmation above ₹152 before fresh entries.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing NCC with NBCC, IRCON, and RVNL to highlight relative intraday strength and sector rotation opportunities within infrastructure stocks?

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