NCC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | NCC | Market Cap | 9,546 Cr. | Current Price | 152 ₹ | High / Low | 242 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 15.4 | Book Value | 121 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.45 % | ROCE | 15.2 % |
| ROE | 8.26 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 155 ₹ | DMA 200 | 173 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.62 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.10 % | PAT Qtr | 220 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 106 Cr. |
| RSI | 44.9 | MACD | -2.18 | Volume | 13,20,444 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 19,24,620 |
| Low price | 130 ₹ | High price | 242 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.04 | Debt to equity | 0.30 |
| 52w Index | 19.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | -9.05 % | EPS | 9.19 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.1 |
📊 Analysis: NCC shows moderate intraday potential. Current price (₹152) is below DMA 50 (₹155) and DMA 200 (₹173), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 44.9 indicates weak momentum, while MACD (-2.18) suggests bearish bias. Volume (13.2L) is lower than the 1-week average (19.2L), showing reduced participation. Fundamentals are mixed with PAT growth (₹106 Cr → ₹220 Cr) but quarterly profit variation (-9.05%) raises caution.
💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹150–152 if supported by strong volume near VWAP.
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹155 (DMA 50 resistance) and ₹160 (next resistance zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹147 (below intraday support).
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹155–160 if RSI approaches 55–58 or momentum slows. Cut positions if price breaks below ₹147 with rising volume pressure.
Positive
- Strong ROCE (15.2%) and ROE (8.26%) highlight operational efficiency.
- PEG ratio at 3.04 suggests fair valuation relative to growth.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.30 indicates manageable leverage.
- FII (+0.62%) and DII (+1.10%) holdings increased, showing institutional confidence.
Limitation
- Price trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200, reflecting technical weakness.
- RSI below 50 and MACD negative, limiting bullish momentum.
- High P/E (15.4) vs industry average (17.1) suggests fair but not cheap valuation.
- Quarterly profit variation (-9.05%) indicates earnings volatility.
Company Negative News
- Earnings volatility raises concerns about consistency in profitability.
- ROE remains modest compared to peers despite PAT growth.
Company Positive News
- Strong institutional investor confidence with both FII and DII inflows.
- PAT doubled (₹106 Cr → ₹220 Cr), showing operational improvement.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 17.1 suggests NCC is fairly valued compared to peers.
- Construction sector remains cyclical but supported by infrastructure demand.
Conclusion
⚖️ NCC offers moderate intraday trading potential with strong institutional support but faces earnings volatility and weak technical signals. Suitable for trades above ₹150 with profit targets near ₹155–160 and strict stop-loss at ₹147. Momentum indicators suggest cautious optimism.
Would you like me to extend this into a swing trade analysis with 1–2 week holding logic, or keep it strictly intraday-focused?