NCC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.1

📊 Analysis: NCC is currently trading at ₹156, near its 52-week low of ₹152. The RSI at 15.6 indicates extreme oversold conditions, but MACD (-8.81) and price below both DMA 50 (₹182) and DMA 200 (₹211) show strong bearish momentum. Intraday volume is slightly below average, suggesting weak participation. This makes NCC a risky candidate for intraday trading today, with limited upside unless a sharp reversal occurs.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹153–₹155 (only if reversal signals appear intraday)

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹160–₹162 (short-term bounce target)

🛑 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹151 (below recent support)

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to hold above ₹155 or if momentum indicators (RSI remains below 20, MACD continues negative) confirm weakness. Consider booking profits if price spikes toward ₹160–₹162 with volume confirmation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE at 20.1% and decent ROE at 10.7%
• 💰 Attractive valuation with P/E 13.7 vs Industry PE 18.8
• 📊 PEG ratio of 0.51 indicates undervaluation relative to growth
• 🏦 Low debt-to-equity ratio at 0.28 supports financial stability

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 15.6 shows oversold but also signals weak momentum
• 📊 Price trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 indicates bearish trend
• 📉 Quarterly profit down 37.1% (PAT 101 Cr. vs 190 Cr. previous)
• 📉 DII holding reduced by -0.85%, showing domestic institutional caution

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Sharp decline in quarterly profits
• 📊 Weak intraday momentum with MACD negative

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 FII holding increased by 0.17%, showing foreign investor confidence
• 💰 Dividend yield of 1.45% provides shareholder returns

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 18.8, higher than NCC’s 13.7, suggesting undervaluation
• 🏗️ Construction sector outlook tied to infrastructure spending cycles

📌 Conclusion

Intraday trading in NCC today is risky due to weak momentum and bearish indicators. While fundamentals show undervaluation and strong ROCE, the sharp profit decline and oversold RSI suggest caution. Only aggressive traders may attempt a bounce play near ₹153–₹155 with tight stop-loss at ₹151 and profit booking around ₹160–₹162. Conservative traders should avoid intraday positions until momentum stabilizes.

Would you like me to also prepare a basket overlay with peer benchmarking for NCC against other construction sector stocks, so you can see relative strength and intraday opportunities?