NAVINFLUOR - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📈 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price Positioning: Current price ₹5,149 is above both 50 DMA (₹4,768) and 200 DMA (₹4,209) — confirms strong bullish trend.

RSI (63.3) — approaching overbought zone, but still bullish.

MACD (101) — very strong positive momentum.

Volume: Below 1-week average — suggests mild cooling after a rally.

📊 Fundamental Overview

Valuation

P/E (91.4) vs Industry P/E (34.4) — highly overvalued.

PEG Ratio (29.9) — extremely high, indicating expensive growth.

EPS (₹58.2) — decent earnings, but not enough to justify valuation.

Book Value (₹530) — price trades at ~9.7x book, steep premium.

Profitability

ROCE (11.7%) and ROE (11.5%) — moderate returns, not exceptional.

Dividend Yield (0.23%) — minimal, typical for growth stocks.

Quarterly Performance

PAT Qtr: ₹95 Cr vs Prev Qtr: ₹83.6 Cr — solid QoQ growth (+34.9%).

Debt-to-Equity (0.56) — moderate leverage, manageable.

FII/DII Holding

FII up (+1.82%) — strong foreign interest.

DII down (-0.16%) — mild domestic caution.

⚠️ Swing Trade Strategy

Current Setup: Technically strong, but valuation is stretched.

Optimal Entry Price: ₹5,000–₹5,050 (near breakout zone and psychological level)

Target Exit Price: ₹5,300–₹5,400 (above recent high, short-term resistance)

Stop Loss: ₹4,900 (below 50 DMA and support zone)

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Hold with a target of ₹5,300–₹5,400.

Exit if price breaks below ₹4,900 or RSI crosses 70 with MACD flattening.

This stock is technically strong and backed by institutional interest, but its valuation is very rich. It’s suitable for short-term momentum-based swing trading, but caution is advised due to overvaluation.

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