NAVA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

📊 NAVA shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 56.3 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD (0.97) is positive, suggesting mild bullish sentiment. The stock is trading above both its 50 DMA (571 ₹) and 200 DMA (560 ₹), reflecting technical strength. Fundamentals are mixed: P/E of 36.7 is higher than industry P/E of 26.7, pointing to overvaluation, but debt-free status and consistent profit growth (+8.9% QoQ) are positives. Volumes are slightly below average, which may limit short-term momentum.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 565–575 ₹ (near DMA support zone).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 610–620 ₹ (short-term resistance) unless momentum strengthens further.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity 0.00) adds financial strength
• 💵 Dividend yield of 1.39% provides modest income
• 📊 EPS of 15.6 ₹ supports earnings stability
• 📈 Quarterly PAT improved from 141 Cr. to 157 Cr. (+8.9%)
• 📈 FII holding increased by 0.12% and DII holding by 0.06%

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 P/E of 36.7 vs industry P/E of 26.7 indicates overvaluation
• 📉 PEG ratio of -94.1 suggests poor growth prospects relative to valuation
• 📉 ROCE (13.6%) and ROE (10.9%) are moderate compared to peers
• 📉 Current volume (1.76 lakh) is below average weekly volume (1.97 lakh)

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Elevated valuation may limit upside potential
• 📉 PEG ratio negative, reflecting weak growth outlook

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth (+8.9%) boosts investor sentiment
• 📊 Debt-free balance sheet enhances financial stability
• 📈 Strong 52-week index performance (+58.7%) shows robust appreciation

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry P/E at 26.7, lower than NAVA’s 36.7, showing relative overvaluation
• ⚡ Diversified industrial sector benefits from infrastructure and energy demand growth

📝 Conclusion

⚖️ NAVA offers moderate swing trade potential. Entry near 565–575 ₹ provides a favorable setup, while exit near 610–620 ₹ captures short-term resistance. Debt-free status, profit growth, and technical strength are positives, but high valuation and weak PEG ratio limit upside. Swing traders should remain cautious and monitor volumes for confirmation of momentum.

I can also prepare a side-by-side HTML comparison of NAVA vs NATIONALUM swing trade setups so you can evaluate which metals/industrial stock offers better short-term potential.