NAVA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📉 Optimal Entry Price: ₹590–₹600 (near RSI support and below 50 DMA)

📈 Exit Strategy (if holding): ₹725–₹735 (near 52-week high and resistance)

🔷 Positive

• 📈 ROCE (13.6%) and ROE (10.9%): Indicate decent operational and financial efficiency.
• 📈 Trading above 200 DMA: Reflects long-term technical strength.
• 📈 FII and DII holdings increased: Suggests growing institutional confidence.
• 📊 EPS of ₹14.9: Supports earnings consistency.
• 💰 Dividend yield of 1.32%: Offers modest income potential.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 High P/E of 40.7: Above industry average (31.0), indicating overvaluation.
• 📉 PEG ratio of -104: Reflects valuation concerns relative to growth.
• 📉 MACD at -11.7: Indicates bearish momentum.
• 📉 RSI at 36.2: Near oversold zone, but not yet signaling reversal.
• 📉 Volume below 1-week average: Suggests reduced short-term interest.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Stock has corrected from ₹735 to ₹608, reflecting profit booking and technical weakness.
• 📉 Analysts flagged concerns over high valuation and margin pressure in the ferroalloys segment.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 Q2FY26 PAT rose from ₹97.4 Cr. to ₹141 Cr., showing sequential earnings growth.
• 📊 Management remains optimistic about power and ferroalloy demand in export markets.

🏭 Industry

• 🏗️ Operates in the diversified industrials and energy sector, benefiting from infrastructure and export demand.
• 📉 Industry P/E of 31.0 suggests NAVA trades at a premium, likely due to its integrated operations and asset base.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ NAVA is a cautious swing trade candidate with improving fundamentals and long-term support, but technical weakness and valuation concerns warrant a conservative approach.
• 📌 Entry near ₹590–₹600 offers a low-risk setup if RSI rebounds and MACD flattens.
• 🚪 If already holding, consider exiting near ₹725–₹735, aligning with resistance and 52-week high.

I can also chart NAVA’s RSI and MACD trends to help you time your entry more precisely.