MRPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | MRPL | Market Cap | 32,393 Cr. | Current Price | 185 ₹ | High / Low | 215 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 14.9 | Book Value | 75.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.16 % | ROCE | 4.36 % |
| ROE | 0.40 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 182 ₹ | DMA 200 | 160 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.83 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.40 % | PAT Qtr | 1,445 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 639 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.7 | MACD | 2.83 | Volume | 1,76,32,066 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 5,66,88,426 |
| Low price | 114 ₹ | High price | 215 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.20 | Debt to equity | 0.81 |
| 52w Index | 70.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 375 % | EPS | 12.4 ₹ | Industry PE | 13.1 |
📊 Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals (MRPL) shows improving fundamentals with supportive technicals for swing trading. The RSI at 47.7 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD (2.83) reflects mild bullishness. The stock is trading above its 50 DMA (182 ₹) and 200 DMA (160 ₹), showing technical strength. With a P/E of 14.9 compared to the industry average of 13.1, the stock is slightly overvalued but supported by strong profit growth. Overall, this is a moderately good swing trade candidate with upside potential.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 180–185 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 200–210 ₹ (close to recent highs) unless momentum strengthens further.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT surged (1,445 Cr. vs 639 Cr.).
- EPS of 12.4 ₹ reflects earnings recovery.
- Dividend yield of 2.16% adds investor appeal.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.81 is manageable for the sector.
- Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing technical support.
⚠️ Limitation
- ROCE (4.36%) and ROE (0.40%) are weak, showing poor efficiency.
- PEG ratio (-0.20) suggests valuation concerns relative to growth.
- DII holdings decreased (-0.40%), reflecting weaker domestic support.
- High volatility in profits may affect consistency.
📉 Company Negative News
- DII stake reduced, showing weaker domestic investor sentiment.
- Efficiency ratios remain weak despite profit surge.
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth (375% variation).
- FII holdings increased (+0.83%), showing foreign investor confidence.
- Stock trading near 52-week high range, reflecting strong momentum.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 13.1, slightly lower than MRPL’s 14.9, suggesting mild overvaluation compared to peers.
- Oil refining sector benefits from global demand but is sensitive to crude price fluctuations.
🔎 Conclusion
MRPL is a moderately good swing trade candidate with strong profit growth and supportive technicals. Entry near 180–185 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, while exits near 200–210 ₹ capture upside potential. Weak efficiency ratios and declining domestic investor confidence warrant caution, but strong earnings momentum makes this suitable for tactical short-term trades.