MRPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | MRPL | Market Cap | 31,417 Cr. | Current Price | 179 ₹ | High / Low | 185 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 14.4 | Book Value | 75.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 4.36 % |
| ROE | 0.40 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 155 ₹ | DMA 200 | 149 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.83 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.40 % | PAT Qtr | 1,445 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 639 Cr. |
| RSI | 64.5 | MACD | 6.60 | Volume | 1,98,66,049 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,55,18,415 |
| Low price | 98.9 ₹ | High price | 185 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -0.20 | Debt to equity | 0.81 |
| 52w Index | 93.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | 375 % | EPS | 12.4 ₹ | Industry PE | 9.70 |
📊 Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL) shows a moderately strong outlook for swing trading. The stock trades at ₹179, above both its 50 DMA (₹155) and 200 DMA (₹149), reflecting bullish momentum. RSI at 64.5 indicates the stock is nearing overbought territory, while MACD at 6.60 confirms positive momentum. Valuation is slightly above industry average (P/E 14.4 vs 9.7), but strong quarterly PAT growth (+375%) and FII buying (+0.83%) provide confidence. Weak ROE (0.40%) and ROCE (4.36%) limit long-term attractiveness, while high debt-to-equity (0.81) adds risk.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹170–175 (near support zone, slightly below current price).
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exit near ₹185–190 (resistance zone close to 52-week high). If price falls below ₹168, apply stop-loss to protect capital.
Positive
- 📈 Strong quarterly PAT growth (₹1,445 Cr. vs ₹639 Cr.).
- 🏦 FII holdings increased (+0.83%).
- 📊 Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing bullish strength.
- 💹 EPS of ₹12.4 supports valuation stability.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Weak ROE (0.40%) and ROCE (4.36%).
- 📉 High debt-to-equity ratio (0.81).
- 📉 RSI at 64.5 indicates nearing overbought zone.
- 📉 Dividend yield is 0.00%, reducing investor appeal.
Company Negative News
- 📉 DII holdings decreased (-0.40%).
- ⚠️ PEG ratio (-0.20) reflects poor earnings growth relative to valuation.
Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT surged significantly (+375% QoQ).
- 🏦 FII accumulation signals global investor confidence.
Industry
- 🏭 Refinery & petrochemicals sector average PE is 9.7, MRPL trades at a premium (14.4).
- 📊 Sector demand remains cyclical, influenced by crude oil prices and refining margins.
Conclusion
⚖️ MRPL is a moderately strong candidate for swing trading. Entry near ₹170–175 offers favorable risk-reward, while exits should be targeted near ₹185–190. Strong profit growth and FII support provide positives, but weak return ratios, high debt, and overbought signals limit upside. Traders should remain cautious and apply strict stop-loss discipline below ₹168.