MRPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.8
| Stock Code | MRPL | Market Cap | 27,932 Cr. | Current Price | 159 ₹ | High / Low | 215 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 14.5 | Book Value | 80.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.51 % | ROCE | 17.7 % |
| ROE | 14.2 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 179 ₹ | DMA 200 | 164 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.36 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.71 % | PAT Qtr | 119 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,445 Cr. |
| RSI | 34.0 | MACD | -3.94 | Volume | 87,32,546 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 98,37,414 |
| Low price | 119 ₹ | High price | 215 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -1.45 | Debt to equity | 1.08 |
| 52w Index | 42.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | -67.1 % | EPS | 11.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.1 |
Analysis: MRPL is trading at 159 ₹, below its 50 DMA (179 ₹) and 200 DMA (164 ₹), indicating weakness and bearish momentum. RSI at 34.0 shows the stock is in oversold territory, while MACD at -3.94 confirms negative momentum. Quarterly PAT dropped sharply (119 Cr vs 1,445 Cr), reflecting earnings pressure. Although valuation appears fair with a P/E of 14.5 vs industry average of 15.1, fundamentals are weak with declining profits and high debt-to-equity ratio (1.08). Dividend yield at 2.51% provides some investor support, but the PEG ratio of -1.45 suggests poor growth prospects. The stock is trading far below its 52-week high (215 ₹), limiting upside potential in the near term.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 150–155 ₹ (closer to support zone and oversold RSI levels).
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 170–175 ₹ (short-term resistance zone) or if RSI recovers above 50. A stop-loss can be placed around 145 ₹ to manage downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Dividend yield at 2.51%, providing income support.
- ROCE at 17.7% and ROE at 14.2%, showing moderate efficiency.
- FII holdings increased (+1.36%).
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
- RSI at 34.0 indicates oversold but weak momentum.
- PEG ratio at -1.45, suggesting poor growth prospects.
- High debt-to-equity ratio at 1.08.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT dropped significantly (119 Cr vs 1,445 Cr).
- DII holdings decreased (-0.71%).
📈 Company Positive News
- Dividend yield at 2.51% supports investor sentiment.
- FII holdings increased (+1.36%).
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 15.1, close to MRPL’s 14.5, showing fair valuation.
- Oil refining sector remains cyclical, heavily influenced by crude prices and demand fluctuations.
🔎 Conclusion
MRPL is currently weak with declining profits and bearish momentum, making it a risky candidate for swing trading. Entry near 150–155 ₹ is safer, with exit around 170–175 ₹. Risk management is crucial due to earnings decline, high leverage, and technical weakness.