MRPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL) based on the provided parameters
Swing Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | MRPL | Market Cap | 27,856 Cr. | Current Price | 159 ₹ | High / Low | 215 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 14.4 | Book Value | 80.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.51 % | ROCE | 17.7 % |
| ROE | 14.2 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 162 ₹ | DMA 200 | 162 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.36 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.71 % | PAT Qtr | 119 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,445 Cr. |
| RSI | 50.3 | MACD | 0.68 | Volume | 62,88,473 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 85,61,091 |
| Low price | 120 ₹ | High price | 215 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -1.44 | Debt to equity | 1.08 |
| 52w Index | 40.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | -67.1 % | EPS | 11.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 5.37 |
📊 MRPL is trading at ₹159, aligned with both 50 DMA (₹162) and 200 DMA (₹162), showing consolidation. RSI at 50.3 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (0.68) reflects mild bullish bias. Volumes (62.9L) are below weekly averages (85.6L), suggesting reduced participation. Valuations are moderate (P/E 14.4 vs industry 5.37), supported by EPS of ₹11.0. However, quarterly PAT dropped sharply (₹1,445 Cr → ₹119 Cr), raising caution. ROCE (17.7%) and ROE (14.2%) remain decent, though debt-to-equity at 1.08 highlights leverage risk.
💡 Optimal Entry: ₹150–₹155 (near support zone)
🚪 Exit if Holding: Profit-taking zone around ₹170–₹175; Stop-loss below ₹148
✅ Positive
- Trading near DMA support levels
- Reasonable valuation (P/E 14.4)
- Dividend yield at 2.51% adds investor appeal
- FII holdings increased (+1.36%)
⚠️ Limitation
- Quarterly PAT decline (₹1,445 Cr → ₹119 Cr)
- High debt-to-equity ratio (1.08)
- Volumes below weekly average
- PEG ratio (-1.44) indicates poor growth valuation
📉 Company Negative News
- Sharp decline in quarterly profitability (-67.1%)
- Domestic institutional selling (-0.71%)
📈 Company Positive News
- FII inflows (+1.36%) show foreign investor confidence
- Dividend yield supports investor sentiment
🏭 Industry
- Refining sector average P/E at 5.37, MRPL trades at a premium
- Sector outlook cyclical, tied to crude oil prices and margins
🔎 Conclusion
MRPL is a cautious candidate for swing trading. While valuations and dividend yield provide support, sharp profit decline and high leverage limit upside. Entry near ₹150–₹155 offers controlled risk, while exits should be considered around ₹170–₹175. Suitable for short-term trades with strict monitoring of earnings and debt levels.
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