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MRPL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code MRPL Market Cap 28,534 Cr. Current Price 163 ₹ High / Low 185 ₹
Stock P/E 13.1 Book Value 75.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 4.36 %
ROE 0.40 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 154 ₹ DMA 200 148 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.83 % Chg in DII Hold -0.40 % PAT Qtr 1,445 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 639 Cr.
RSI 55.7 MACD 4.62 Volume 43,62,623 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,18,13,997
Low price 98.9 ₹ High price 185 ₹ PEG Ratio -0.18 Debt to equity 0.81
52w Index 74.2 % Qtr Profit Var 375 % EPS 12.4 ₹ Industry PE 9.25

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: MRPL is trading at 163 ₹, above both its 50 DMA (154 ₹) and 200 DMA (148 ₹). This indicates a bullish reversal from recent lows. The stock is closer to its 52-week high (185 ₹) than its low (98.9 ₹), reflecting improving sentiment.

📈 RSI: At 55.7, RSI is neutral-to-positive, suggesting balanced momentum with room for further upside.

📉 MACD: Positive at 4.62, confirming bullish crossover and short-term upward momentum.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-to-upper band, indicating strengthening momentum but caution for possible short-term pullbacks.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (43,62,623) is significantly lower than average weekly volume (2,18,13,997), showing reduced participation despite price recovery.

🎯 Entry Zone: 158–162 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).

🎯 Exit Zone: 178–185 ₹ (near resistance and 52-week high).


Positive

  • Market cap of 28,534 Cr. reflects strong presence in refining sector.
  • Stock P/E of 13.1 is attractive compared to industry PE of 9.25.
  • Quarterly PAT surged to 1,445 Cr. from 639 Cr., showing strong sequential growth.
  • FII holdings increased by 0.83%, showing foreign investor confidence.
  • EPS at 12.4 ₹ supports earnings visibility.

Limitation

  • ROCE (4.36%) and ROE (0.40%) are weak, limiting long-term compounding potential.
  • Dividend yield is 0.00%, offering no income return for investors.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.81 is relatively high.
  • PEG ratio of -0.18 indicates poor earnings growth relative to valuation.
  • Trading volumes are significantly lower than average, reducing conviction in price action.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased (-0.40%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • Weak ROE and ROCE highlight inefficiency in capital utilization.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth of 375% indicates strong operational improvement.
  • FII stake increase reflects global investor interest.
  • Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling bullish reversal.

Industry

  • Refining sector trading at industry PE of 9.25, making MRPL slightly overvalued at P/E of 13.1.
  • Sector outlook remains cyclical, tied to crude oil prices and refining margins.

Conclusion

⚖️ MRPL is in a bullish reversal phase with supportive RSI and positive MACD. Entry near 158–162 ₹ offers margin of safety, while exits around 178–185 ₹ provide profit-taking opportunities. Long-term investors should be cautious due to weak ROE/ROCE and high debt, while short-term traders may exploit momentum toward the 52-week high.

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