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MRPL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.3

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:24 am

Technical Rating: 3.3

Stock Code MRPL Market Cap 29,365 Cr. Current Price 168 ₹ High / Low 215 ₹
Stock P/E 15.2 Book Value 80.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.39 % ROCE 17.7 %
ROE 14.2 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 180 ₹ DMA 200 165 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.36 % Chg in DII Hold -0.71 % PAT Qtr 119 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,445 Cr.
RSI 39.0 MACD -2.75 Volume 75,68,474 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,21,48,350
Low price 119 ₹ High price 215 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.52 Debt to equity 1.08
52w Index 50.4 % Qtr Profit Var -67.1 % EPS 11.0 ₹ Industry PE 15.7

📊 Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL) is trading below its 50 DMA (₹180) but slightly above its 200 DMA (₹165), showing short-term weakness with medium-term support. RSI at 39.0 reflects bearish momentum, while MACD (-2.75) confirms negative divergence. Bollinger Bands suggest price near the lower range, signaling oversold conditions. Current volume (75.7 lakh) is below the 1-week average (121.5 lakh), indicating reduced participation.

💡 Optimal Entry: ₹160–₹165 (near 200 DMA support)

🚪 Exit if Holding: Profit-taking zone around ₹175–₹180; Stop-loss below ₹155

📈 Trend Status: Reversing downward with bearish undertone

✅ Positive

  • Trading above 200 DMA support
  • Dividend yield of 2.39% adds investor appeal
  • EPS at ₹11 supports earnings visibility
  • FII holdings increased (+1.36%)
  • ROE (14.2%) and ROCE (17.7%) show moderate efficiency

⚠️ Limitation

  • Trading below 50 DMA, showing short-term weakness
  • RSI at 39 indicates bearish momentum
  • Quarterly PAT declined sharply (₹1,445 Cr → ₹119 Cr)
  • High debt-to-equity ratio (1.08)
  • PEG ratio at -1.52 signals poor growth outlook

📉 Company Negative News

  • Sharp decline in quarterly profits (-67.1%)
  • Weak efficiency metrics despite revenue base
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.71%)

📈 Company Positive News

  • FII inflows indicate foreign investor confidence
  • Dividend yield supports investor interest

🏭 Industry

  • Oil refining sector average PE at 15.7, MRPL trades in line (15.2)
  • Sector remains cyclical with demand recovery trends

🔎 Conclusion

MRPL is reversing downward, trading below its 50 DMA with bearish RSI and MACD signals. Entry near ₹160–₹165 offers a controlled risk setup, while exits around ₹175–₹180 are advisable. Despite fair valuation and dividend yield, weak profitability and high leverage limit long-term attractiveness. Suitable only for cautious swing trades with strict stop-loss discipline.

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