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MRPL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 27 May 26, 07:22 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code MRPL Market Cap 26,394 Cr. Current Price 151 ₹ High / Low 215 ₹
Stock P/E 13.7 Book Value 80.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.66 % ROCE 17.7 %
ROE 14.2 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 166 ₹ DMA 200 163 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.36 % Chg in DII Hold -0.71 % PAT Qtr 119 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,445 Cr.
RSI 39.2 MACD -6.65 Volume 35,82,554 Avg Vol 1Wk 32,49,835
Low price 120 ₹ High price 215 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.37 Debt to equity 1.08
52w Index 31.9 % Qtr Profit Var -67.1 % EPS 11.0 ₹ Industry PE 14.6

📈 Chart & Momentum Analysis

- Current price (₹151) is below DMA 50 (₹166) and DMA 200 (₹163), showing short-term and medium-term weakness.

- RSI at 39.2 indicates weak momentum, leaning toward oversold territory.

- MACD at -6.65 is negative, confirming bearish bias.

- Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, suggesting downside pressure.

- Volume (35.8L) is slightly above average weekly volume (32.5L), showing active participation but likely driven by selling.

🎯 Entry & Exit Zones

- Optimal entry: ₹145–₹150 (support near oversold zone).

- Exit/Profit zone: ₹160–₹165 (resistance near DMA 200).

- Stop-loss: ₹140 (support zone).

📊 Trend Status

- The stock is reversing downward with bearish momentum, struggling to regain strength above moving averages.

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Positive

✔ EPS at ₹11.0 reflects profitability.

✔ ROE (14.2%) and ROCE (17.7%) show moderate efficiency.

✔ Dividend yield at 2.66% adds investor appeal.

✔ FII holding increased (+1.36%).

Limitation

⚠ Trading below DMA 50 & DMA 200.

⚠ RSI weak, MACD negative.

⚠ PEG ratio (-1.37) indicates unsustainable growth outlook.

⚠ Debt-to-equity at 1.08 shows high leverage.

Company Negative News

📉 PAT dropped sharply (₹1,445 Cr. → ₹119 Cr., -67.1%).

📉 DII holding reduced (-0.71%).

📉 Efficiency metrics weaker compared to peers.

Company Positive News

📈 FII accumulation (+1.36%) signals confidence.

📈 Dividend yield supports investor interest.

📈 Strong trading volume reflects active market participation.

Industry

🛢 Oil refining sector PE at 14.6, MRPL trades in line (PE 13.7).

🛢 Sector outlook remains cyclical with demand recovery trends but volatility persists.

Conclusion

🔎 MRPL is reversing downward with bearish signals. Best strategy is cautious accumulation near ₹145–₹150 and profit booking around ₹160–₹165. A breakout above ₹166 (DMA 50) would confirm bullish reversal toward ₹175+.

Would you like me to extend this into a swing trade roadmap with layered medium-term targets, or refine it into intraday trading signals for sharper entries and exits?

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