MEDANTA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹1,341) and 200 DMA (₹1,238), confirming medium-term bullish structure.

MACD Positive: At 2.00, MACD shows mild upward momentum—momentum is building but not yet strong.

RSI Neutral: 50.6 suggests consolidation—neither overbought nor oversold.

Volume Drop: Current volume (1.94L) is significantly below 1-week average (4.31L), indicating reduced participation and a need for confirmation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Premium: P/E of 73.5 vs industry average of 57.3 and PEG of 2.33 signals overvaluation relative to growth.

Strong Efficiency: ROCE 19.6%, ROE 15.2%—solid capital deployment.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.10 adds financial resilience.

Profit Growth: PAT rose from ₹129 Cr to ₹137 Cr (+42.2% Qtr Var)—healthy earnings momentum.

Institutional Sentiment: FII reduced (−0.22%), DII increased (+0.27%)—mixed but slightly bullish.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹1,340–₹1,355: Near 50 DMA and support zone. Entry only if MACD strengthens and volume picks up.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹1,440–₹1,455: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹1,325 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

MEDANTA offers a moderate swing setup—technicals are supportive but not explosive, and fundamentals are strong though valuation is stretched. Best suited for short-duration trades with confirmation signals. Entry near 50 DMA offers a safer margin, while exit near highs is prudent unless volume and MACD accelerate.

For tighter setups, I can prep a filtered basket with PEG < 1.5, ROCE > 20%, and MACD > 5—just say the word.

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