JSWHL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.3

📉 Swing Trade Analysis: JSWHL

JSW Holdings shows weak technical momentum and poor fundamental support, making it a risky candidate for swing trading at current levels.

🔍 Technical Indicators

Price vs DMA: Current price ₹18,476 is below both 50-DMA (₹19,365) and 200-DMA (₹18,688), indicating a bearish trend.

RSI (45.8): Neutral to weak — suggests lack of momentum.

MACD (-126): Strongly negative — confirms downward pressure.

Volume: Extremely low (1,503 vs 1-week avg of 1,335) — illiquidity poses a challenge for swing trades.

📊 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation: P/E of 116 is excessively high compared to industry average (32.0), and PEG ratio of 12.8 signals severe overvaluation.

Profitability: ROCE (0.85%) and ROE (0.64%) are extremely weak — poor capital efficiency.

Earnings: PAT is flat (₹19.7 Cr vs ₹19.1 Cr) — no growth momentum.

Debt-Free: Debt-to-equity of 0.00 is a positive, but not enough to offset weak performance.

Institutional Sentiment: FII slightly reduced (-0.02%), DII marginally increased (+0.10%) — overall neutral.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Avoid Entry for Now

Wait for price to reclaim 200-DMA (₹18,688) and MACD to turn positive before considering entry.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹19,000–₹19,500

If price rebounds near 50-DMA, consider exiting to minimize risk.

Stop Loss: ₹17,500

Below this level, downside risk accelerates.

⚖️ Verdict

JSWHL is not suitable for swing trading at current levels due to weak technicals, poor profitability, and high valuation. Traders should wait for a clear trend reversal and volume confirmation before considering any position.

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