JSWHL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.7

📊 JSWHL shows weak fundamentals for swing trading despite some technical strength. The RSI at 51.4 indicates neutral momentum, while a strong positive MACD (755) suggests short-term bullishness. However, the extremely high P/E of 191 and very low ROCE/ROE highlight poor efficiency. The optimal entry price would be near 19,000–19,200 ₹, close to DMA 50 support. If already holding, consider exiting around 20,800–21,200 ₹, where resistance may limit upside.

✅ Positive

• 📈 PAT improved from 19.7 Cr. to 59.6 Cr. QoQ.
• 💹 EPS of 106 ₹ provides earnings visibility.
• 📊 Strong MACD (755) indicates bullish technical momentum.
• 📈 52-week index gain of 46% highlights resilience.
• 💸 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 shows no leverage risk.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Extremely high P/E of 191 compared to industry PE of 30.2.
• 📊 PEG ratio of 21.0 signals severe overvaluation relative to growth.
• 📉 ROCE of 0.85% and ROE of 0.64% reflect poor efficiency.
• 💸 Dividend yield of 0.00% offers no shareholder return.
• 📉 Very low trading volume (4,976) compared to peers, limiting liquidity.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly profit variation at -49.6% highlights declining profitability trend.
• 📊 DII holdings decreased by 0.05%, showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT growth QoQ shows operational improvement despite weak margins.
• 🌍 FII holdings increased slightly (0.03%), showing marginal foreign investor support.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 30.2 suggests sector is moderately valued compared to JSWHL’s extreme valuation.
• 🌍 Holding company structure limits direct industry comparison but benefits from diversified exposure.

📌 Conclusion

JSWHL is a risky swing trade candidate due to extreme valuation and weak efficiency metrics. Entry near 19,000–19,200 ₹ may provide a rebound, but exit around 20,800–21,200 ₹ is advisable if already holding. Traders should remain cautious and apply strict stop-loss discipline given poor fundamentals and limited liquidity.

Would you like me to also break down short-term candlestick reversal signals (like doji or bullish engulfing) that could confirm the entry zone near 19,000 ₹?