HEG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹505) and 200 DMA (₹478), confirming a short-term bullish structure.

MACD Mildly Positive: At 3.02, MACD suggests early momentum but not yet strong.

RSI Neutral-to-Strong: 58.5 indicates building strength, with room to run before overbought territory.

Volume Surge: Current volume (11.8L) is above 1-week average (9.8L), showing increased participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Premium: P/E of 58.7 vs industry average of 43.0 and PEG of −2.03—signals overvaluation and earnings volatility.

Weak Efficiency: ROCE 5.19%, ROE 3.40%—below swing-grade thresholds.

Earnings Recovery: PAT jumped from ₹−61.7 Cr to ₹71.8 Cr (+2,683%)—a sharp turnaround.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.14 supports financial stability.

Institutional Sentiment: FII slightly increased (+0.11%), DII slightly reduced (−0.05%)—neutral stance.

🧠 Analyst Sentiment

Forecasts for HEG suggest a bullish trajectory with mid-year 2025 targets around ₹750.89 and year-end targets up to ₹959.40

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. Long-term trend remains bullish, supported by historical returns of +275% over 5 years

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. The stock is currently trading at ~65% of its 52-week range, indicating room for upside.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹500–₹510: Near 50 DMA and recent support zone. Entry only if MACD remains positive and RSI holds above 55.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹615–₹622: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD flattens.

Extended Target: ₹750–₹760 if momentum accelerates and volume confirms.

Trailing Stop: ₹495 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

HEG offers a momentum-backed swing setup with strong technical positioning and a sharp earnings rebound. While ROCE and ROE are weak and valuation is stretched, the MACD, RSI, and volume support a short-term trade. Entry near ₹505 with confirmation offers a favorable risk-reward, and exit near ₹622 or extended targets is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

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1

dailybulls.in

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stockpricearchive.com

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