GSPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 GSPL shows decent fundamentals with zero debt and undervaluation relative to industry peers. However, weak technical indicators and modest profitability limit its short-term swing trade potential. The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA and 200 DMA, suggesting cautious entry near support levels.

✅ Optimal Entry Price: 270–280 ₹ (close to recent support and near 52-week low)

📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 340–350 ₹ resistance zone or if RSI recovers above 55.

Positive

• 💡 Attractive P/E (22.4) compared to industry PE (15.4), suggesting fair valuation.
• 🛡️ Debt-to-Equity (0.00) ensures excellent financial stability.
• 📈 PAT growth from 142 Cr. to 382 Cr. shows strong earnings improvement.
• 💰 Dividend Yield (1.75%) provides steady shareholder returns.
• 🌍 Increase in FII holding (+0.36%) signals foreign investor confidence.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI (35.4) and negative MACD (-5.47) indicate weak momentum.
• 📉 Stock trading below DMA 50 (298 ₹) and DMA 200 (313 ₹) signals bearish trend.
• 📉 ROCE (9.60%) and ROE (7.67%) are modest compared to peers.
• 📉 Quarterly profit variation (-1.75%) highlights earnings instability.
• 📉 52-week index (22.7%) shows underperformance relative to broader market.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Decline in DII holding (-0.49%) reflects reduced domestic institutional confidence.
• 📉 Weak momentum indicators suggest limited short-term upside.

Company Positive News

• 🌍 Increase in FII holding (+0.36%) reflects foreign investor interest.
• 📈 PAT growth highlights operational strength despite modest efficiency ratios.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE (15.4) is lower than GSPL’s PE (22.4), suggesting mild premium valuation.
• 📊 Gas transmission sector outlook remains stable with long-term demand growth potential.

Conclusion

🔑 GSPL is a cautious swing trade candidate with strong earnings recovery and zero debt but weak technicals and modest efficiency. Entry near 270–280 ₹ offers a limited-risk setup. Exit near 340–350 ₹ is advisable if holding, unless momentum indicators improve significantly. Short-term outlook is weak, but long-term fundamentals remain supportive.

I can also prepare a side-by-side HTML comparison of GSPL with GPPL so you can evaluate which one offers stronger swing trade potential.