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GSPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:28 am

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

Stock Code GSPL Market Cap 15,141 Cr. Current Price 268 ₹ High / Low 348 ₹
Stock P/E 21.3 Book Value 195 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.86 % ROCE 9.60 %
ROE 7.67 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 275 ₹ DMA 200 294 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.05 % Chg in DII Hold 0.28 % PAT Qtr 114 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 382 Cr.
RSI 45.3 MACD 6.86 Volume 0 Avg Vol 1Wk 0
Low price 226 ₹ High price 348 ₹ PEG Ratio -2.95 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 34.7 % Qtr Profit Var -15.7 % EPS 12.6 ₹ Industry PE 15.3

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd (GSPL) shows weak fundamentals with ROCE (9.60%) and ROE (7.67%), alongside a negative PEG ratio (-2.95) indicating poor valuation relative to growth. The company reported a sharp decline in quarterly PAT (₹382 Cr. → ₹114 Cr., -15.7%), raising caution. The current price (₹268) is below both the 50 DMA (₹275) and 200 DMA (₹294), reflecting short-term and medium-term weakness. RSI at 45.3 suggests neutral-to-weak momentum, while MACD at 6.86 indicates mild bullish crossover. Despite being debt-free and showing modest institutional inflows (FII +0.05%, DII +0.28%), fundamentals remain weak, making GSPL a cautious swing trade candidate.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry around ₹260–₹265 (near support zone) is favorable for swing trading.

📈 Exit Strategy

If already holding, consider exiting near ₹285–₹295 (resistance zone close to 200 DMA). A strict stop-loss below ₹255 is advisable to manage risk.


✅ Positive

  • 📌 Debt-free balance sheet ensures financial stability.
  • 📌 Dividend yield of 1.86% provides income support.
  • 📌 EPS of ₹12.6 supports earnings consistency.
  • 📌 Institutional inflows (FII +0.05%, DII +0.28%) show investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • 📌 Weak ROCE (9.60%) and ROE (7.67%).
  • 📌 Quarterly PAT declined sharply (-15.7%).
  • 📌 Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates bearish trend.
  • 📌 PEG ratio (-2.95) signals poor valuation relative to growth.

📰 Company Negative News

  • 📌 Earnings decline is a major concern.

🌟 Company Positive News

  • 📌 Debt-free structure adds resilience.
  • 📌 Institutional investors marginally increasing stake.

🏭 Industry

  • 📌 Industry P/E at 15.3 is lower than GSPL’s 21.3, suggesting mild overvaluation.
  • 📌 Gas transmission sector outlook remains stable with steady demand drivers.

🔎 Conclusion

GSPL is a cautious candidate for swing trading. Entry near ₹260–₹265 offers a reasonable setup, with exit targets around ₹285–₹295. Traders should remain cautious due to weak fundamentals and declining profits, while leveraging debt-free stability and modest institutional support.

Would you like me to expand this into a peer comparison with other gas transmission companies or a sector overlay analysis to refine the swing trade outlook?

Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis

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