GSPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.3
| Stock Code | GSPL | Market Cap | 16,633 Cr. | Current Price | 295 ₹ | High / Low | 361 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 23.4 | Book Value | 195 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.70 % | ROCE | 9.60 % |
| ROE | 7.67 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 301 ₹ | DMA 200 | 311 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.02 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.13 % | PAT Qtr | 114 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 382 Cr. |
| RSI | 48.1 | MACD | -0.36 | Volume | 2,14,779 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,51,244 |
| Low price | 261 ₹ | High price | 361 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -3.24 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 33.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | -15.7 % | EPS | 12.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.8 |
📊 GSPL shows moderate fundamentals with a fair P/E relative to industry, decent dividend yield, and zero debt. However, weak ROE/ROCE, declining profits, and bearish technical indicators (RSI below 50, MACD negative, price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA) limit its attractiveness for swing trading. It is a cautious candidate, suitable only for short-term trades with strict stop-loss levels.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 285–290 ₹ (near support zone).
📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider booking profits near 310–315 ₹ resistance, or exit if price falls below 275 ₹.
Positive ✅
- P/E of 23.4 is only slightly above industry average (15.8), suggesting fair valuation.
- Dividend yield of 1.70% provides moderate income stability.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 shows no leverage risk.
- Book value of 195 ₹ offers asset backing.
- EPS of 12.6 ₹ supports profitability visibility.
Limitation ⚠️
- ROCE (9.60%) and ROE (7.67%) are weak compared to peers.
- Quarterly PAT declined sharply from 382 Cr. to 114 Cr. (-15.7%).
- MACD negative (-0.36) signals bearish undertone.
- RSI at 48.1 indicates weak momentum.
- Price trading below both 50 DMA (301 ₹) and 200 DMA (311 ₹), showing technical weakness.
- Trading volume (2.1 lakh) below 1-week average (3.5 lakh), suggesting reduced participation.
- PEG ratio of -3.24 highlights valuation concerns relative to growth.
Company Negative News 📉
- Decline in quarterly profits raises concerns about earnings stability.
- Slight reduction in DII holdings (-0.13%) shows weaker domestic institutional confidence.
Company Positive News 📈
- Stable dividend yield supports investor confidence.
- Slight increase in FII holdings (+0.02%) shows foreign investor interest.
Industry 🌐
- Industry P/E at 15.8 highlights sector trades at fair valuation.
- Gas transmission sector benefits from long-term demand for cleaner energy and infrastructure expansion.
Conclusion 📝
GSPL is a cautious swing trade candidate with fair valuation and zero debt, but weak efficiency metrics, declining profits, and bearish technical signals limit short-term upside. Entry near 285–290 ₹ offers limited risk. Exit around 310–315 ₹ or below 275 ₹ if momentum weakens. Suitable only for short-term trades with strict risk management.