GSPL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is hovering between 50 DMA (₹311) and 200 DMA (₹323), indicating a neutral-to-weak trend.

MACD Mildly Positive: At 1.65, MACD shows early momentum but lacks strength—needs confirmation.

RSI Neutral: 58.0 suggests balanced sentiment, not yet overbought or oversold.

Volume Drop: Current volume (3.49L) is significantly below 1-week average (8.08L), indicating fading participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Mixed: P/E of 24.2 is above industry average (14.6), and PEG of −3.34 reflects earnings contraction—valuation is not compelling.

Moderate Efficiency: ROCE 9.6%, ROE 7.67%—acceptable but not swing-grade elite.

Zero Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.00 adds financial resilience.

Profit Volatility: PAT rose to ₹142 Cr from ₹70.7 Cr, but Qtr Profit Var is −32.8%—inconsistent earnings.

Institutional Sentiment: FII increased (+0.36%), DII slightly reduced (−0.09%)—neutral to mildly bullish.

📈 Analyst Sentiment

Broker consensus suggests an average price target of ₹382, implying ~21% upside from current levels

1

. Technical analysts highlight a descending triangle breakout with bullish candles and a reversal play forming near ₹300–₹320

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. Long-term trend remains bearish, but short-term momentum is building

3

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🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹305–₹310: Near lower support and 50 DMA. Entry only if MACD strengthens and RSI crosses 60 with volume confirmation.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹375–₹382: First resistance zone aligned with broker targets. Exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹298 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

GSPL offers a moderate swing setup—technical indicators are stabilizing, and institutional sentiment is mildly supportive. Fundamentals are mixed, with valuation concerns and earnings volatility. Best suited for short-term tactical trades with tight risk control. Entry near ₹310 with confirmation offers a favorable risk-reward, while exit near ₹382 is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

Want me to prep a filtered basket with PEG < 1, ROCE > 15%, and MACD > 5 for higher-conviction swing setups?

1

trendlyne.com

2

in.tradingview.com

3

stockpricearchive.com

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