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GLAXO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 05 May 26, 03:23 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code GLAXO Market Cap 39,822 Cr. Current Price 2,350 ₹ High / Low 3,516 ₹
Stock P/E 40.0 Book Value 101 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.79 % ROCE 62.6 %
ROE 46.4 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 2,425 ₹ DMA 200 2,552 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.01 % Chg in DII Hold -0.02 % PAT Qtr 277 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 253 Cr.
RSI 42.0 MACD -7.92 Volume 1,32,083 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,21,402
Low price 2,218 ₹ High price 3,516 ₹ PEG Ratio -2.02 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 10.2 % Qtr Profit Var 21.3 % EPS 58.8 ₹ Industry PE 30.2

GLAXO shows strong efficiency metrics with ROCE (62.6%) and ROE (46.4%), but valuation and technical indicators suggest caution for swing trading. The stock trades at a P/E of 40.0, above the industry average of 30.2, while the PEG ratio (-2.02) signals weak growth relative to valuation. RSI at 42.0 and negative MACD (-7.92) indicate bearish momentum. The optimal entry price would be near support levels around ₹2,250–2,280. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹2,500–2,550, near the 200 DMA and resistance zone.

✅ Positive

  • High ROCE (62.6%) and ROE (46.4%) show strong operational efficiency.
  • Quarterly PAT growth from ₹253 Cr. to ₹277 Cr. (+21.3%).
  • Dividend yield of 1.79% provides moderate income.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) ensures financial stability.

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E ratio (40.0) is higher than industry average (30.2), suggesting overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio (-2.02) reflects weak growth prospects relative to valuation.
  • Stock trading below 200 DMA indicates medium-term weakness.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Slight decline in both FII (-0.01%) and DII (-0.02%) holdings.
  • Weak 52-week index performance (10.2%), showing underperformance.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit growth (+21.3%) supports earnings momentum.
  • Strong efficiency metrics (ROCE and ROE) highlight operational strength.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E is 30.2, lower than GLAXO’s 40.0, suggesting relative overvaluation.
  • Pharmaceutical sector remains resilient with long-term demand drivers.

🔎 Conclusion

GLAXO is fundamentally strong but currently overvalued relative to industry peers, making it a cautious swing trade candidate. Entry near ₹2,250–2,280 offers a safer risk-reward setup, while profit booking should be considered around ₹2,500–2,550. Traders should monitor technical momentum and institutional activity for confirmation.

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