GILLETTE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Weakness: Price is below 50 DMA (₹10,239) and hovering just above 200 DMA (₹9,476), indicating a short-term downtrend.

MACD Deep Negative: At −128, MACD confirms strong bearish momentum—no sign of reversal yet.

RSI Oversold Zone: 40.5 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, but not yet bouncing.

Volume Drop: Current volume (13K) is below 1-week average (15.5K), showing low trader interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Premium: P/E of 57.4 vs industry average of 52.8 and PEG of 5.43—expensive relative to growth.

Exceptional Efficiency: ROCE 56.1%, ROE 41.6%—elite capital deployment.

Zero Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.00 adds financial resilience.

Profit Dip: PAT fell from ₹159 Cr to ₹146 Cr, but Qtr Profit Var is +25.6%—still healthy.

Institutional Sentiment: FII increased (+0.49%), DII reduced (−0.29%)—mixed but net positive.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹9,600–₹9,700: Near 200 DMA and support zone. Entry only if MACD flattens and RSI crosses 45 with volume pickup.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹10,200–₹10,300: First resistance zone near 50 DMA. Consider partial exit if RSI crosses 60 or MACD turns positive.

₹11,400–₹11,505: Final exit near 52-week high if momentum resumes.

Trailing Stop: ₹9,480 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

GILLETTE is fundamentally strong with elite ROCE/ROE and zero debt, but technically weak with bearish momentum and stretched valuation. It’s suitable for oversold bounce trades, not aggressive swings. Entry near 200 DMA with confirmation is key.

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