FACT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | FACT | Market Cap | 57,171 Cr. | Current Price | 883 ₹ | High / Low | 1,059 ₹ |
| Book Value | 20.9 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.02 % | ROCE | 4.93 % | ROE | -2.91 % |
| Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 882 ₹ | DMA 200 | 864 ₹ | Chg in FII Hold | 0.00 % |
| Chg in DII Hold | 0.01 % | PAT Qtr | 3.16 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -67.9 Cr. | RSI | 47.5 |
| MACD | 15.1 | Volume | 17,04,664 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 34,08,290 | Low price | 652 ₹ |
| High price | 1,059 ₹ | Debt to equity | 2.95 | 52w Index | 56.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | -94.5 % |
| EPS | -0.61 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.9 |
📊 FACT shows weak fundamentals and high risk for swing trading. ROCE (4.93%) is low, ROE (-2.91%) is negative, and EPS is also negative (-0.61 ₹). Debt-to-equity is high at 2.95, raising financial risk. The stock trades around its 50 DMA (882 ₹) and 200 DMA (864 ₹), suggesting consolidation. RSI at 47.5 is neutral, while MACD at 15.1 shows mild bullishness. PAT turned positive (3.16 Cr vs -67.9 Cr), but quarterly profit variation (-94.5%) indicates instability. Valuation metrics such as P/E and PEG are unavailable, adding uncertainty. Volume is lower than average, showing reduced participation.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 860–880 ₹ (near DMA support).
📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 900–920 ₹ (short-term resistance) or cut losses if fundamentals weaken further.
Positive
- 📌 [PAT Recovery](ca://s?q=FACT_quarterly_profit): PAT improved from -67.9 Cr to 3.16 Cr.
- 📌 [DII Support](ca://s?q=FACT_DII_holdings): Domestic institutional investors increased holdings slightly (+0.01%).
- 📌 [Technical Neutrality](ca://s?q=FACT_DMA_trend): Stock trades near both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing stability.
Limitation
- ⚠️ [Weak Profitability](ca://s?q=FACT_low_ROCE_ROE): ROCE at 4.93% and ROE at -2.91% are poor.
- ⚠️ [High Debt](ca://s?q=FACT_debt_equity): Debt-to-equity ratio of 2.95 raises financial risk.
- ⚠️ [Negative EPS](ca://s?q=FACT_EPS): EPS of -0.61 ₹ reflects weak earnings.
- ⚠️ [Low Volume](ca://s?q=FACT_trading_volume): Current trading volume is lower than 1-week average.
Company Negative News
- ❌ [Quarterly Profit Collapse](ca://s?q=FACT_profit_variation): Profit variation at -94.5% shows instability.
- ❌ [Weak Returns](ca://s?q=FACT_ROCE_ROE): Poor ROCE and negative ROE highlight inefficiency.
Company Positive News
- ✅ [Profit Turnaround](ca://s?q=FACT_profit_turnaround): PAT turned positive after a loss in the previous quarter.
- ✅ [Market Cap Strength](ca://s?q=FACT_market_cap): Market cap of 57,171 Cr indicates industry relevance.
Industry
- 🏭 [Industry PE](ca://s?q=Fertilizer_industry_PE): Industry average P/E is 15.9, but FACT’s valuation metrics are unavailable.
- 🏭 [Sector Outlook](ca://s?q=Fertilizer_sector_outlook): Fertilizer sector benefits from agricultural demand, though company-specific risks remain high.
Conclusion
📉 FACT is a weak candidate for swing trading. Fundamentals are poor, profitability is unstable, and debt levels are high. Entry near 860–880 ₹ may offer a cautious setup, but upside is limited to 900–920 ₹. Risks include negative EPS, weak ROCE/ROE, and profit volatility, making this stock suitable only for high-risk traders with strict stop-loss discipline.