FACT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.7

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹967) and 200 DMA (₹901), indicating short-term bullish bias.

MACD Positive: At 8.21, MACD supports momentum continuation.

RSI Neutral: 52.8 suggests indecision—neither oversold nor overbought.

Volume Weakness: Current volume (1.61L) is well below 1-week average (2.79L), indicating fading interest.

📉 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Risk: P/E of 793 and PEG of −12.6 are extreme red flags—implies unsustainable pricing and negative growth expectations.

Profit Volatility: PAT dropped sharply from ₹57.6 Cr to ₹4.28 Cr, despite a Qtr Profit Var of +108%—likely due to base effect or one-off adjustments.

Weak Returns: ROCE 8.65%, ROE 1.61%—low capital efficiency.

High Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 1.32 adds financial risk.

Institutional Sentiment: FII and DII changes are negligible—no strong conviction.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹940–₹955: Near recent support and below 50 DMA. Only consider entry if MACD strengthens and volume picks up.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹1,080–₹1,110: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 65 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹975 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

FACT is in a technical uptrend but carries severe valuation and profitability risks. It’s suitable only for short-term speculative trades, not structured swing setups. Entry near support with confirmation is key; otherwise, capital is better deployed in cleaner setups.

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