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FACT - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 2.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 2.6

Stock Code FACT Market Cap 52,552 Cr. Current Price 811 ₹ High / Low 1,112 ₹
Stock P/E 3,548 Book Value 21.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.02 % ROCE 8.65 %
ROE 1.61 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 799 ₹ DMA 200 854 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.00 % Chg in DII Hold 0.00 % PAT Qtr -67.9 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 20.9 Cr.
RSI 54.4 MACD 7.35 Volume 6,59,950 Avg Vol 1Wk 39,49,529
Low price 565 ₹ High price 1,112 ₹ PEG Ratio -56.3 Debt to equity 2.79
52w Index 45.0 % Qtr Profit Var -949 % EPS 0.43 ₹ Industry PE 17.9

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue growth: Weak, PAT turned negative (-67.9 Cr.) vs 20.9 Cr. previous quarter
  • Profit margins: EPS at 0.43 ₹, ROE 1.61%, ROCE 8.65% — very poor efficiency
  • Debt ratios: Debt-to-equity at 2.79, high leverage risk
  • Cash flows: Negative profitability raises sustainability concerns
  • Return metrics: ROE and ROCE well below industry averages

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 3,548, extremely overvalued compared to industry PE of 17.9
  • P/B Ratio: ~38.2 (811 ₹ / 21.2 ₹), very high
  • PEG Ratio: -56.3, distorted due to earnings volatility
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price far above fair value given weak fundamentals

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Operates in fertilizer and chemicals sector
  • Competitive advantage limited due to weak profitability and high leverage
  • Industry demand supported by agriculture growth, but company-specific execution is weak

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive only near 650–700 ₹ range if fundamentals improve
  • Long-Term Holding: Not recommended until profitability stabilizes and debt reduces

✅ Positive

  • Strong market capitalization at 52,552 Cr. provides scale advantage
  • Stock trading above DMA 50 (799 ₹), showing short-term support
  • RSI at 54.4 indicates neutral technical position

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (3,548) compared to industry average
  • High debt-to-equity ratio (2.79)
  • ROE (1.61%) and ROCE (8.65%) are weak

📰 Company Negative News

  • PAT turned negative (-67.9 Cr.) vs 20.9 Cr. previous quarter
  • No improvement in FII or DII holdings (both unchanged)
  • High leverage raises financial risk

🌟 Company Positive News

  • Strong liquidity with high trading volumes
  • Stock price recovered from 52-week low of 565 ₹
  • MACD at 7.35 indicates mild bullish momentum

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 17.9, FACT trades at a steep premium
  • Sector benefits from agriculture demand and government support, but company-specific fundamentals are weak

🔎 Conclusion

  • FACT shows weak fundamentals with negative profitability, high debt, and poor efficiency metrics
  • Valuation is extremely stretched compared to industry peers, limiting near-term upside
  • Not suitable for long-term holding unless earnings stabilize; entry only near 650–700 ₹ with cautious optimism

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