FACT - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am
Back to IntraDay Trade ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 2.8
| Stock Code | FACT | Market Cap | 55,884 Cr. | Current Price | 864 ₹ | High / Low | 1,112 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 616 | Book Value | 21.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.02 % | ROCE | 8.65 % |
| ROE | 1.61 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 878 ₹ | DMA 200 | 893 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.01 % | Chg in DII Hold | -8.56 % | PAT Qtr | 20.9 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 4.28 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.4 | MACD | -9.93 | Volume | 1,71,865 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 16,10,565 |
| Low price | 565 ₹ | High price | 1,112 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -9.78 | Debt to equity | 2.79 |
| 52w Index | 54.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 86.4 % | EPS | 1.61 ₹ | Industry PE | 20.3 |
📊 Analysis: FACT shows weak intraday potential due to extreme valuation and bearish technicals. Current price (₹864) is below both the 50 DMA (₹878) and 200 DMA (₹893), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 47.4 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (-9.93) confirms bearish sentiment. Volume (1.7 lakh) is far below the weekly average (16.1 lakh), reducing intraday strength and liquidity.
💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹860–₹865 (near support zone).
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹875 (first resistance), ₹885 (second resistance).
🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹850 (below intraday support).
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹864 with weak momentum or if volume remains low. Consider booking profits near ₹875–₹885 if momentum improves during the session.
Positive
- 📈 Quarterly PAT growth from ₹4.28 Cr. to ₹20.9 Cr. (86.4% variation).
- 💰 FII holding stable with a slight increase (0.01%).
- 📊 Strong 52-week performance with index at 54.6% reflects resilience.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Extremely high P/E (616) compared to industry average (20.3), suggesting severe overvaluation.
- 📉 Weak ROCE (8.65%) and ROE (1.61%) indicate poor capital efficiency.
- 🔻 MACD negative (-9.93) signals bearish short-term momentum.
- 📊 Low trading volume reduces intraday strength.
- 💳 Debt-to-equity ratio (2.79) is relatively high, raising financial risk concerns.
- 📉 DII holding decreased by 8.56%, showing domestic investor exit pressure.
Company Negative News
- 📰 No major negative news reported, but valuation concerns and weak efficiency metrics weigh heavily on sentiment.
Company Positive News
- 📰 Strong quarterly profit growth supports positive sentiment despite valuation concerns.
Industry
- 🏭 Fertilizer and chemicals sector trading at PE 20.3, far lower than FACT’s valuation.
- 📈 Industry demand supported by agriculture growth and government subsidies.
Conclusion
⚖️ FACT is fundamentally overvalued with weak efficiency metrics and high debt, despite strong quarterly profit growth. Intraday trading opportunity is limited due to bearish momentum and low volume. Cautious entry near ₹860–₹865 with profit exits at ₹875–₹885 is possible, but strict stop-loss at ₹850 is essential.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing FACT with other fertilizer and chemical sector stocks, or should we focus on basket rotation signals for intraday workflow optimization?
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