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DEVYANI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 2.4

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:29 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.4

Stock Code DEVYANI Market Cap 13,015 Cr. Current Price 106 ₹ High / Low 191 ₹
Book Value 12.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 7.53 % ROE 2.20 %
Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 124 ₹ DMA 200 145 ₹ Chg in FII Hold -0.78 %
Chg in DII Hold -0.32 % PAT Qtr 8.56 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -14.3 Cr. RSI 30.9
MACD -5.64 Volume 27,54,800 Avg Vol 1Wk 39,41,681 Low price 103 ₹
High price 191 ₹ Debt to equity 1.59 52w Index 3.35 % Qtr Profit Var 98.6 %
EPS -0.28 ₹ Industry PE 62.4

📊 Devyani International (DEVYANI) shows weak fundamentals with negative EPS (-0.28), low ROCE (7.53%), and very low ROE (2.20%). Technical indicators are bearish (RSI 30.9, MACD -5.64, price below 50 & 200 DMA). High debt-to-equity (1.59) and declining investor confidence further weaken sentiment, making it a poor candidate for swing trading in the short term.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹104–108, near strong support levels.

📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹120–125 if recovery occurs, or cut losses if price falls below ₹103 decisively.

Positive

  • Quarterly PAT improved from a loss (-₹14.3 Cr.) to a profit of ₹8.56 Cr.
  • Book value of ₹12.4 provides some valuation support.
  • Large market cap (₹13,015 Cr.) ensures liquidity.

Limitation

  • Negative EPS (-0.28) indicates weak profitability.
  • Low ROCE (7.53%) and ROE (2.20%) show poor capital efficiency.
  • High debt-to-equity ratio (1.59) raises financial risk.
  • Price trading below both 50 DMA (124) and 200 DMA (145), confirming bearish trend.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.78%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • DII holdings also declined (-0.32%), reflecting weak domestic sentiment.
  • Technical weakness with RSI near oversold zone and MACD negative.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT turnaround from loss to profit indicates operational improvement.
  • Strong brand presence in QSR (Quick Service Restaurants) sector provides long-term potential.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 62.4 is high, reflecting premium valuations in the QSR sector.
  • Food services industry remains growth-oriented but cyclical, influenced by consumer demand and discretionary spending.

Conclusion

⚖️ Devyani International is fundamentally weak and technically bearish, with high debt and poor efficiency ratios. While recent profit turnaround is positive, swing traders should be cautious. Entry near support (~₹104–108) and exit near resistance (~₹120–125) is advisable, but conservative traders should avoid until technical indicators improve and earnings stabilize.

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