CENTURYPLY - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.5

📊 Analysis Summary

CENTURYPLY currently shows weak technical momentum and stretched valuation, making it a poor candidate for swing trading in the short term. While it has long-term brand strength, the current setup lacks the ingredients for a high-probability swing trade.

🔍 Technical Indicators

RSI (46.0): Neutral — neither oversold nor showing strength.

MACD (-3.35): Bearish crossover — downward momentum persists.

Price vs DMA

Current Price (₹732) is below both 50 DMA (₹741) and 200 DMA (₹748), signaling short-term weakness.

Volume: Significantly below average — low trader interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

P/E (84.3) vs Industry PE (48.1): Highly overvalued.

PEG Ratio (-5.67): Negative — indicates declining earnings growth.

ROCE (10.4%) & ROE (8.45%): Weak returns for a mid-cap.

EPS (₹8.34) vs Price (₹732): Implies a very high earnings multiple.

Qtr Profit Decline (-33.1%): Major concern — declining profitability.

FII Holding ↓ (-0.18%): Slight foreign investor exit.

DII Holding ↑ (0.33%): Mild domestic support.

Debt to Equity (0.67): Manageable but not ideal.

✅ Entry Strategy (If Not Holding)

Avoid entry for now — no strong technical or valuation support.

If price drops near ₹700 with RSI below 40 and shows reversal signs, consider entry around ₹690–₹700 with tight risk control.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Exit near 50 DMA (₹741) or on bounce toward ₹760–₹780.

If price breaks below ₹720, consider stop-loss at ₹700 to avoid deeper downside.

⚖️ Final Verdict

CENTURYPLY is not a good swing trade candidate at this time due to weak momentum, poor earnings trend, and high valuation. Better opportunities may exist in the building materials or home improvement sector.

Would you like suggestions for alternative stocks in the same industry with stronger swing setups?

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