BLUEDART - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | BLUEDART | Market Cap | 12,002 Cr. | Current Price | 5,072 ₹ | High / Low | 7,225 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 41.8 | Book Value | 713 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.49 % | ROCE | 18.6 % |
| ROE | 15.0 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 5,492 ₹ | DMA 200 | 5,842 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.90 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.49 % | PAT Qtr | 108 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 79.5 Cr. |
| RSI | 32.2 | MACD | -127 | Volume | 12,421 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 10,719 |
| Low price | 5,028 ₹ | High price | 7,225 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -2.48 | Debt to equity | 0.28 |
| 52w Index | 2.02 % | Qtr Profit Var | 35.9 % | EPS | 105 ₹ | Industry PE | 21.1 |
Analysis: Blue Dart Express Ltd (BLUEDART) shows moderate fundamentals with ROCE at 18.6% and ROE at 15.0%, supported by manageable debt-to-equity (0.28). At ₹5,072, the stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹5,492) and 200 DMA (₹5,842), reflecting bearish momentum. RSI at 32.2 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -127 confirms strong downward pressure. The P/E of 41.8 is significantly higher than the industry average (21.1), suggesting overvaluation. EPS of ₹105 is strong, and quarterly PAT growth (+35.9%) shows earnings improvement. However, weak technicals limit swing trade potential, though oversold RSI may provide a short-term rebound opportunity.
Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹5,050–₹5,100, close to current support levels.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹5,450–₹5,500, where resistance aligns with the 50 DMA. A stop-loss near ₹4,950 is advisable to manage downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Strong EPS of ₹105.
- Quarterly PAT growth from ₹79.5 Cr. to ₹108 Cr. (+35.9%).
- DII holdings increased (+0.49%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Dividend yield of 0.49% adds shareholder value.
⚠️ Limitation
- High P/E of 41.8 vs industry 21.1.
- Stock trading below both 50 & 200 DMA.
- RSI near oversold but momentum remains weak.
- PEG ratio (-2.48) indicates poor growth-adjusted valuation.
📰 Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.90%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- MACD remains strongly negative, signaling bearish momentum.
🌟 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit growth (+35.9%) highlights earnings recovery.
- DII holdings increased (+0.49%), showing domestic support.
- Strong EPS reflects profitability despite valuation concerns.
🏭 Industry
- Logistics and courier sector benefits from e-commerce growth and rising demand for express delivery.
- Industry P/E at 21.1 indicates moderate valuations compared to Blue Dart’s premium pricing.
📌 Conclusion
Blue Dart is fundamentally stable with strong EPS and profit growth, but faces technical weakness and overvaluation. Entry near ₹5,050–₹5,100 may be considered for a short-term rebound, with exit around ₹5,450–₹5,500. Swing trade potential exists, but caution is advised due to bearish momentum and premium valuation.