BLUEDART - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

📉 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

⚠️ Weak Technical Setup

MACD at -68.4 — strong bearish momentum, no crossover signal.

RSI at 52.4 — neutral, lacking strength confirmation.

Price below DMA50 (₹5,985) and DMA200 (₹6,467) — confirms downtrend.

52w Index at 13.8% — trading near yearly lows, no reversal yet.

Volume flat — no breakout interest.

✅ Fundamental Positives

ROCE (18.6%) and ROE (15.0%) — solid operational efficiency.

EPS ₹101 — strong earnings base.

Debt-to-equity 0.21 — low leverage.

FII holding slightly increased (+0.07%) — mild foreign interest.

⚠️ Valuation & Growth Concerns

P/E of 58.0 vs industry 26.7 — richly valued.

PEG ratio -3.45 — negative growth outlook.

Qtr Profit Var -8.93% — earnings contraction.

PAT Qtr ₹46.9 Cr. vs ₹53.2 Cr. — sequential decline.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

Blue Dart is currently trading near its 52-week low of ₹5,365, with bearish momentum and price action below key moving averages. Analysts note that the 25-day moving average at ₹5,786.7 is the nearest technical reference point, but the long-term trend remains negative

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🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Consider entry only near ₹5,600–₹5,650, if MACD flattens and RSI rebounds above 55.

Entry confirmation should include volume >35K and price reclaiming DMA50.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹5,950–₹6,050 (near DMA50 and psychological resistance).

Stop-loss: ₹5,450 (below recent swing low and volume shelf).

Exit trigger: RSI > 65 or MACD divergence near ₹6,050.

This setup is fundamentally stable but technically weak. If you're basket-optimizing across logistics or mid-cap defensives, I can scan for peers with stronger PEG and MACD crossover setups. Just say the word.

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