BLUEDART - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:00 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

📊 Blue Dart shows weak potential for swing trading at current levels. The stock is trading below both 50 DMA (5,708 ₹) and 200 DMA (6,131 ₹), with RSI at 24.9 indicating oversold conditions. MACD is sharply negative (-147), suggesting strong bearish momentum. While quarterly profit growth is positive, valuations remain high compared to industry PE. Optimal entry would be closer to 5,250–5,300 ₹ (near recent lows). If already holding, consider exiting near 5,700–5,800 ₹ unless momentum reverses strongly.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Market cap of 12,831 Cr. ensures stability and liquidity.
• 💹 Strong ROCE (18.6%) and ROE (15.0%).
• 📊 Quarterly PAT improved to 79.5 Cr. from 46.9 Cr. (+30.8% variation).
• 📉 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.28), showing financial stability.
• 📊 EPS of 109 ₹ supports earnings strength.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 High P/E of 49.6 compared to industry PE of 24.5.
• 📉 RSI at 24.9 indicates oversold but also weak momentum.
• 📉 MACD negative (-147), showing strong bearish trend.
• 📉 PEG ratio negative (-2.95), suggesting poor valuation relative to growth.
• 📉 FII holdings decreased (-0.49%).

🚨 Company Negative News

No major fresh negative news reported, but weak technicals, high valuation, and reduced FII interest remain concerns.

🌟 Company Positive News

Strong quarterly profit growth and slight increase in DII holdings (+0.09%) highlight improving fundamentals.

🏭 Industry

The logistics and courier industry trades at an average PE of 24.5. Blue Dart’s valuation is significantly higher, reflecting brand strength but also overvaluation risk.

📌 Conclusion

Blue Dart is a risky swing trade candidate due to bearish technicals and stretched valuations. Best entry near 5,250–5,300 ₹ (close to recent lows). If already holding, exit near 5,700–5,800 ₹ unless momentum breaks resistance. Risk-reward is unfavorable, with caution advised despite profit growth.

I can also prepare a comparison of Blue Dart with peers like Delhivery or Gati to highlight relative swing trade opportunities in the logistics sector.