BLUEDART - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

📊 Swing Trade Analysis for BLUEDART Ltd.

Swing Trade Rating: 2.6

📉 Technical Setup

Current Price ₹6,473 is below both DMA 50 (₹6,625) and DMA 200 (₹6,749) → bearish alignment, short-term weakness.

RSI (40.7) approaching oversold zone → may suggest downside is slowing, but no reversal signal yet.

MACD (29.7) is positive, though the gap is narrowing → mixed signal.

Volume below 1-week average → lack of trading enthusiasm.

🔍 Interpretation: The price is trending below key averages with weak RSI, suggesting caution. Swing entry only favorable if signs of reversal emerge.

🧮 Fundamental Snapshot

Stock P/E (61.9) > Industry P/E (28.8) → overvalued on earnings.

PEG Ratio (-3.80) → negative PEG points to declining or uncertain growth projections.

ROCE (16.3%), ROE (16.2%) → solid profitability metrics.

Debt-to-Equity (0.65) → manageable leverage.

EPS ₹104, Book Value ₹657 → strong earnings base.

Profit Decline: ₹55.2 Cr → ₹48.8 Cr (-8.59%) → signaling slowdown.

Minimal institutional activity → limited conviction from major players.

🧠 Conclusion: Fundamentally strong company, but valuation concerns and earnings slowdown make it risky for a short-term trade.

✅ Optimal Entry Price

Monitor for price support near ₹6,300–₹6,350, with RSI rebound above 45–50 and MACD crossover.

Stop-Loss: ₹6,200 — near psychological level and recent low.

🚪 Exit Plan (If Already Holding)

If bought near current levels, aim for a rebound toward ₹6,650–₹6,700 — near DMA 50 and psychological resistance.

If price breaks below ₹6,300 on volume, consider trimming or exiting to prevent deeper drawdown.

Watch RSI and MACD signals — if both reverse, trail stop-loss upward to protect gains.

💬 Final Thought

BLUEDART shows respectable long-term fundamentals but lacks short-term momentum and institutional backing for a convincing swing trade setup. Best to wait for clearer reversal signals or explore peers with stronger technical alignment.

Want me to pull up a comparison with logistics peers like TCI Express or Delhivery? Might surface a better opportunity.

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