BLUEDART - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.8

📊 Analysis: Blue Dart shows weak intraday potential today. Current price (₹5,407) is below both 50DMA (₹5,708) and 200DMA (₹6,131), indicating bearish bias. RSI at 24.9 signals oversold conditions, but MACD (-147) is sharply negative, suggesting strong downward momentum. Volume (1,09,357) is above weekly average (42,428), showing active selling pressure. Fundamentals like ROCE (18.6%) and ROE (15.0%) are decent, but valuation (P/E 49.6 vs industry PE 24.5) is stretched, and the stock is trading at only 6.61% of its 52-week high range.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹5,300–5,350 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹5,500–5,600 (short-term resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹5,250 (below recent low).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting if price fails to sustain above ₹5,400 with RSI remaining below 30 or MACD continuing negative. Exit near ₹5,500–5,600 if momentum improves; cut positions if price slips below ₹5,250 with rising volume.

Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (18.6%) and ROE (15.0%).
• 💹 EPS at ₹109, showing earnings strength.
• 📊 Quarterly PAT growth (₹79.5 Cr. vs ₹46.9 Cr.).
• 📈 Volume above weekly average, indicating active participation.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI at 24.9 indicates oversold but weak momentum.
• 📉 MACD (-147) shows strong bearish trend.
• ⚠️ High P/E (49.6) vs industry PE (24.5).
• 📉 PEG ratio (-2.95) indicates poor valuation relative to growth.

Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding reduced (-0.49%).
• 📉 Stock trading at only 6.61% of 52-week high range.

Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly profit surged (+30.8% variation).
• 💹 DII holding increased (+0.09%), showing minor domestic support.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 24.5, much lower than Blue Dart’s valuation (49.6).
• 📊 Logistics sector supported by e-commerce and supply chain demand, but valuations remain sensitive.

Conclusion

⚖️ Blue Dart is a weak intraday candidate today due to bearish technicals and stretched valuation. Buy near ₹5,300–5,350 only for short-term recovery trades, target ₹5,500–5,600, and protect downside at ₹5,250. If already holding, monitor RSI and MACD closely for exit signals. Strong fundamentals exist, but momentum is negative, requiring strict risk management.

Would you like me to extend this into a sector benchmarking overlay against other logistics and courier companies (like Delhivery, TCI Express, Gati) to compare intraday strength?