BLUEDART - Investment Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

📊 Investment Analysis: Blue Dart Express Ltd (BLUEDART)

⭐ Investment Rating

3.5 A well-established logistics player with decent return metrics, but current valuation and growth indicators suggest a cautious approach.

📈 Long-Term Investment Potential

Blue Dart has a strong brand and operational footprint in India’s logistics sector. However, several financial metrics raise concerns for long-term investors

High P/E (61.9) vs Industry PE (28.8): Indicates overvaluation.

ROE (16.2%) & ROCE (16.3%): Solid returns, showing efficient capital use.

PEG Ratio (-3.80): Negative PEG suggests earnings decline or unreliable growth projections.

Dividend Yield (0.39%): Low income generation for long-term holders.

Debt-to-Equity (0.65): Moderate leverage, manageable but worth monitoring.

Quarterly Profit Decline (-8.59%): Indicates margin pressure or operational challenges.

Despite strong historical performance, the recent dip in profits and elevated valuation metrics suggest limited upside unless earnings growth resumes.

🎯 Ideal Entry Price Zone

Indicator Value

50 DMA ₹6,625

200 DMA ₹6,749

RSI 40.7 (oversold zone)

MACD 29.7 (bullish crossover)

Support Zone ₹6,000–₹6,250

Resistance ₹6,750–₹7,000

Suggested Entry Zone: ₹6,000–₹6,250 This range offers a technical cushion and aligns with oversold RSI and historical support levels.

🧭 Exit Strategy / Holding Period

If you're already holding BLUEDART

Holding Period: Medium term (2–4 years), contingent on earnings recovery and margin expansion.

Exit Strategy

Partial Exit near ₹7,500–₹7,800 if valuation remains stretched and profit growth stagnates.

Hold if ROE sustains above 15% and PEG turns positive with a value below 2.0.

Reassess post Q2 FY26 results (expected in October 2025) for operational updates and cost efficiency measures.

Would you like a peer comparison with Delhivery or TCI Express to evaluate Blue Dart’s competitive edge?

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