BAJAJHFL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.6

📉 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Current Price (₹113) is below both the 50-DMA (₹120) and 200-DMA (₹127), indicating a bearish trend.

RSI (28.0): Deep in oversold territory — potential for a short-term bounce, but also signals weakness.

MACD (-1.96): Negative and declining — confirms bearish momentum.

Volume: Below average, suggesting low trader interest and weak conviction.

📊 Fundamental Snapshot

ROCE (9.55%) & ROE (13.5%): Mediocre returns for a financial stock.

Debt to Equity (4.11): Very high leverage — increases risk, especially in volatile markets.

EPS (₹2.72) vs Stock P/E (41.5): Overvalued relative to earnings.

PEG Ratio (0.92): Reasonable valuation relative to growth, but not compelling given other weaknesses.

Dividend Yield (0.00%): No passive income — not attractive for income-focused investors.

⚖️ Swing Trade Considerations

Pros

RSI suggests oversold conditions — possible short-term rebound.

PEG ratio under 1 hints at some value if growth sustains.

Cons

Weak technicals and declining institutional interest (FII and DII both down).

High debt and low return metrics.

Price far from 52-week high (₹188), with only 11.6% of that range retained — poor relative strength.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal Entry Zone: ₹105–₹110 — closer to recent low (₹103) and potential support zone. Only consider entry if RSI begins to rise and MACD flattens.

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Holding: Consider exiting near ₹125–₹130 — just below 200-DMA and likely resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹102 — breach of recent low would invalidate rebound thesis.

This stock is not a strong swing candidate unless you're targeting a short-term technical bounce. If you're looking for higher momentum plays, I can help you screen better setups across financials or other sectors.

Edit in a page