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BAJAJHFL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code BAJAJHFL Market Cap 74,683 Cr. Current Price 89.6 ₹ High / Low 137 ₹
Stock P/E 31.7 Book Value 25.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 9.55 %
ROE 13.5 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 95.8 ₹ DMA 200 109 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.03 % Chg in DII Hold 0.85 % PAT Qtr 643 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 583 Cr.
RSI 39.3 MACD -2.06 Volume 99,68,215 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,25,32,135
Low price 87.2 ₹ High price 137 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.70 Debt to equity 4.44
52w Index 4.88 % Qtr Profit Var 17.8 % EPS 2.83 ₹ Industry PE 16.4

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Price is below both 50 DMA (95.8 ₹) and 200 DMA (109 ₹), showing weakness.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (89.6 ₹) is under DMAs, indicating bearish bias.
  • RSI: At 39.3, nearing oversold territory, suggesting potential rebound.
  • MACD: Negative (-2.06), confirming bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near lower band, showing oversold conditions.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (99,68,215) is below 1-week average (1,25,32,135), indicating reduced participation.

📊 Momentum & Trend

  • Short-term Momentum: Bearish with RSI weak and MACD negative.
  • Support Zone: 87 ₹ – 90 ₹ (near current levels).
  • Resistance Zone: 95 ₹ – 97 ₹ (near 50 DMA).
  • Trend: Consolidating with bearish bias.
  • Optimal Entry: Around 87 ₹ – 90 ₹ if support holds.
  • Optimal Exit: Around 95 ₹ – 97 ₹ unless breakout occurs.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth (643 Cr vs 583 Cr), showing earnings momentum.
  • EPS of 2.83 ₹, reflecting profitability.
  • PEG ratio (0.70) indicates fair valuation relative to growth.

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E (31.7) is much higher than industry average (16.4), suggesting overvaluation.
  • High debt-to-equity ratio (4.44) indicates significant leverage.
  • Dividend yield is 0.00%, limiting investor returns.
  • ROCE (9.55%) and ROE (13.5%) are modest compared to peers.

📉 Company Negative News

  • High leverage (Debt-to-equity 4.44) raises financial risk.
  • FII holding increased only marginally (+0.03%), showing limited foreign confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.85%), showing stronger domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly profit growth of 17.8% indicates operational improvement.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 16.4, much lower than company PE, suggesting valuation premium.
  • Sector outlook remains steady, but company trades at higher multiples than peers.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Stock is consolidating with bearish signals but nearing oversold territory.
  • Entry near support (87 ₹ – 90 ₹) could be favorable for short-term rebound trades.
  • Exit near resistance (95 ₹ – 97 ₹) unless breakout confirms reversal.
  • Long-term investors should be cautious due to high leverage and stretched valuations despite improving profitability.

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