ATUL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📈 Technical & Fundamental Breakdown

🔍 Momentum & Price Action

Current Price (₹6,545) is slightly below DMA50 (₹6,584) and DMA200 (₹6,697) — indicating mild bearish bias.

MACD at -28.2 confirms weak momentum; no bullish crossover yet.

RSI at 55.1 is neutral, not signaling overbought or oversold.

Volume spike (32.6K vs 22.8K avg) suggests short-term interest but not sustained accumulation.

📊 Valuation & Earnings

High P/E (43.3) vs industry (33.9) implies overvaluation.

PEG ratio of -5.34 and Qtr Profit Var -10.5% show earnings contraction.

EPS of ₹151 is solid, but not enough to justify current valuation without growth.

ROCE (11.9%) and ROE (8.64%) are modest for a premium-priced stock.

🧭 Institutional Activity

FII holding dropped (-1.02%), while DII increased (+1.35%) — mixed sentiment.

Zero debt and strong book value (₹1,881) offer downside cushion.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Wait for a pullback near ₹6,400–₹6,450, ideally with MACD flattening and RSI holding above 50. This zone aligns with short-term support and offers better risk-reward.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹6,850–₹6,900 (near DMA200 resistance).

Stop-loss: ₹6,300 (below recent support and volume base).

Exit trigger: If MACD diverges negatively again or RSI crosses 70 near resistance.

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