ASTRAL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.6

ASTRAL is fundamentally solid but currently lacks the technical strength to justify a confident swing entry. While profitability and ROCE are decent, momentum indicators reflect bearish undercurrents and low trading interest. It's best classified as a “watchlist stock” waiting for trend reversal.

📉 Technical Red Flags

RSI (34.6): Deep in bearish territory—oversold but not rebounding yet.

MACD (-14.5): Strong negative divergence, signaling persistent downward momentum.

Price < 50 DMA & 200 DMA: Trading below both key moving averages, confirming downtrend.

Volume Drop: Below weekly average—low trader interest or institutional conviction.

📊 Fundamental Signals

P/E (73.5) vs Industry PE (26.4): Very expensive relative to peers.

PEG (26.3): Extremely high—indicates pricey valuation even after adjusting for growth.

ROCE (20.3%) & ROE (15.2%): Moderate quality returns on capital.

Debt-to-Equity (0.06): Virtually debt-free—favorable for stability.

EPS (₹19.5): Decent earnings power for its segment.

Profit Shrink (-1.77%): Sequential decline in PAT despite stronger YoY numbers.

🔍 Institutional Sentiment

FII Hold (-0.02%) and DII Hold (+0.11%): Near-zero net change—neutral stance.

🟢 Optimal Entry Strategy

Wait for Bounce Zone: ₹1,375–₹1,395

Entry Trigger

RSI to cross 40

MACD starts narrowing towards crossover

Price closes above 50 DMA (₹1,471) on volume >7L

🚪 Exit Plan (If Holding)

Initial Resistance: ₹1,470–₹1,490

Mid-Term Target: ₹1,520–₹1,550

Stretch Target: ₹1,600+ only if MACD flips positive and RSI sustains above 55

Stop Loss: ₹1,365 (recent low zone and key support level)

🧠 Final Thought

ASTRAL feels like a race car with a premium engine stuck in the pit lane. It has the long-term potential, but its short-term signals don’t yet justify revving up for a swing. Accumulate if it shows signs of bottoming reversal—or better yet, track it until RSI and volume confirm fresh traction.

Would you like me to scan similar industrial stocks with stronger setups for comparison? I’ve got a few gems tucked away that might just surprise you. 🧪📊

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