ASTERDM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Entry Zone: ₹675–₹685 (only if MACD sustains and RSI > 55)

Exit if held: ₹720–₹730 (near 52W high and resistance zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📈 Current Price: ₹689
• 📈 52W High/Low: ₹732 / ₹386
• 📈 RSI: 53.2 (neutral to bullish)
• 📈 MACD: 9.96 (bullish crossover)
• 📉 Volume: 4.34L vs 1W Avg 4.61L (slightly below average)
• 📉 FII Holding Change: -0.92%
• 📈 DII Holding Change: +1.04%
• 📉 P/E: 111 vs Industry 57.2 (valuation premium)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 0.37 — attractive growth pricing

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 139% and 200% — exceptional capital efficiency.
• 📈 MACD Bullish: Indicates momentum continuation.
• 📈 Above DMA 50 & 200: Trend confirmation zone.
• 📈 EPS: ₹5.57 — stable earnings base.
• 📈 DII Accumulation: Domestic institutions increasing stake.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Valuation Stretch: P/E of 111 — significantly above sector average.
• 📉 FII Exit: Foreign investors trimmed exposure.
• 📉 Qtr Profit Var: -98.5% — sharp sequential decline.
• 📉 Dividend Yield: 0.73% — modest passive income.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q3FY25 Sales Decline: Net sales dropped amid debt servicing concerns and margin compression.
• 📉 Stock Downgrade: MarketsMojo revised rating to “Strong Sell” citing technical weakness and financial stress.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 8-Month High: Stock surged 30% in 2 months on healthy growth outlook.
• 📈 Revenue CAGR: 22% through FY19–24 — strong historical performance.
• 📈 Academic Tie-up: MoU signed with XLRI Jamshedpur for leadership development and tech-driven transformation.

🏥 Industry

• 📈 Healthcare Demand: Rising urbanization and insurance penetration driving hospital footfalls.
• 📉 Margin Sensitivity: Sector exposed to regulatory pricing and operational cost pressures.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Technically viable swing setup with MACD/RSI alignment and DII support, but valuation and profit volatility are concerns.
• 📥 Entry near ₹675–₹685 if RSI > 55 and MACD sustains.
• 📤 Exit near ₹720–₹730 (resistance and 52W high zone).
• 📈 Momentum strong, fundamentals mixed — suitable for alert-driven tactical trades with basket overlay.

Sources

XLRI MoU Announcement

MarketsMojo Downgrade

Business Standard – 8-Month High