AMBER - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | AMBER | Market Cap | 23,508 Cr. | Current Price | 6,677 ₹ | High / Low | 8,626 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 162 | Book Value | 830 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 11.6 % |
| ROE | 7.63 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 7,079 ₹ | DMA 200 | 6,988 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -3.63 % | Chg in DII Hold | 3.66 % | PAT Qtr | 46.4 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -48.7 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.1 | MACD | -117 | Volume | 2,52,081 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 4,20,035 |
| Low price | 5,400 ₹ | High price | 8,626 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.89 | Debt to equity | 0.69 |
| 52w Index | 39.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 104 % | EPS | 41.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 44.2 |
📊 AMBER shows weak technicals and stretched valuations, making it a cautious candidate for swing trading. The RSI at 40.1 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD remains sharply negative (-117), confirming bearish signals. The stock is trading below its 50 DMA (7,079 ₹) and 200 DMA (6,988 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness. Fundamentals are mixed: while PAT improved significantly (46.4 Cr vs. -48.7 Cr) and EPS stands at 41.8 ₹, the P/E of 162 vs. industry 44.2 suggests extreme overvaluation. ROCE (11.6%) and ROE (7.63%) are modest, and debt-to-equity is relatively high at 0.69. Institutional activity is mixed, with FII holdings down (-3.63%) but DII holdings up (+3.66%).
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 6,600–6,650 ₹ (near support zone).
📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near 7,050–7,100 ₹ (close to 50 DMA resistance) unless momentum strengthens further.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT turnaround (46.4 Cr vs. -48.7 Cr) shows operational recovery.
- DII holdings increased (+3.66%), reflecting strong domestic institutional confidence.
- EPS of 41.8 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
- Sector recovery potential with improved profitability.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E (162) compared to industry average (44.2).
- Weak ROCE (11.6%) and ROE (7.63%) highlight limited efficiency.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.69 indicates moderate leverage risk.
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms bearish trend.
- Volume lower than average, reducing short-term momentum.
📉 Company Negative News
- Decline in FII holdings (-3.63%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit recovery highlights operational resilience.
- DII confidence adds stability to outlook.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 44.2 is far lower than AMBER’s 162, suggesting peers may be better valued.
- Consumer durables sector remains cyclical, with demand fluctuations impacting margins.
🔎 Conclusion
AMBER is fundamentally recovering but technically weak and highly overvalued, making it a high-risk swing trade candidate. Entry near 6,600–6,650 ₹ may offer a short-term rebound opportunity, but exits should be considered around 7,050–7,100 ₹. Caution is advised due to stretched valuations and weak efficiency metrics.