AMBER - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading well above both 50-DMA (₹7,533) and 200-DMA (₹6,709), confirming strong momentum and trend continuation.

RSI (67.4): Bullish zone, nearing overbought—momentum is strong but may face short-term exhaustion.

MACD (220): Strong positive crossover—momentum confirmation is robust.

Volume: Slightly below 1-week average, suggesting mild caution on follow-through strength.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 178 Extremely overvalued vs industry PE (56.6) — valuation risk

PEG Ratio 4.30 Overpriced relative to growth — caution on sustainability

ROCE / ROE 11.6% / 7.63% Moderate efficiency — acceptable for tactical swing

Debt-to-Equity 0.79 Slightly elevated — manageable but adds volatility

PAT Growth (QoQ) -14.4% Mild decline — sentiment neutral

FII/DII Change +1.54% / -1.60% Strong FII inflow offsets DII trimming — net positive sentiment

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Momentum-driven setup with breakout confirmation and FII support.

Catalyst: MACD strength + price breakout near 52-week high + RSI momentum.

Risk: Elevated valuation and PEG, plus mild volume dip — requires tight stop-loss discipline.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹8,100–₹8,200

(Pullback toward breakout zone with stop-loss below ₹7,950)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹8,375–₹8,450 (Resistance near 52-week high and psychological round level)

Stop-Loss: ₹7,950 (Below 50-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits well into a momentum basket with breakout strength, though not ideal for margin-of-safety logic. If you're refining your consumer durables rotation, I can scan for peers with lower PEG and stronger ROCE overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you're ready.

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