AMBER - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.4

AMBER Enterprises is showing strong momentum with volume surges and favorable technical alignment, making it a compelling swing trade candidate—despite valuation concerns and earnings softness.

✅ Bullish Setup Highlights

MACD (164): Exceptionally strong momentum, indicating trend strength.

RSI (64.7): High, but not overheated—just shy of overbought territory.

Volume Surge: Over 3x the 1-week average (14.2L vs 4.56L), suggests active accumulation.

Trading Above 50-DMA & 200-DMA: CMP ₹7,810 well above key moving averages (₹7,073 & ₹6,327), a classic bullish signal.

52W Index at 91.3%: Close to yearly highs (₹8,177), indicating strong sentiment.

EPS of ₹81.3 and robust quarterly profit growth (43.5%) support the rally.

FII Inflows (+1.54%): Fresh foreign interest lends conviction.

❌ Weak Spots to Watch

Rich Valuation: P/E at 96.2 vs Industry 53.3 + PEG of 3.19 reflect stretched pricing.

Quarterly PAT Dip: ₹104 Cr. vs ₹116 Cr.—not alarming but worth monitoring.

No Dividend: Zero yield may dissuade long-term passive investors.

High Debt-to-Equity (0.90): Indicates leveraged structure, warrants caution.

DII Selling (-1.60%): Domestic institutions taking profits—possible resistance ahead.

📥 Entry Strategy

Ideal Buy Zone: ₹7,750–₹7,810

Entry triggers

Price sustains above ₹7,810 with volume > 14.5L

RSI crosses above 66

MACD slope continues upward

For late entries, a pullback toward ₹7,400–₹7,500 with bounce confirmation would be lower-risk.

🚪 Exit Plan (If Holding)

Initial Target: ₹8,100–₹8,175 (near 52W high)

Mid-Term Target: ₹8,400–₹8,600 (requires RSI > 68 and MACD peak sustain)

Stretch Exit: ₹8,750–₹9,000 if price breaks into blue-sky territory with strong follow-through

Stop Loss: ₹7,500 (just below 50-DMA and short-term support)

🧠 Final Thought

AMBER is riding a wave of momentum, backed by institutional interest and technical breakout strength. While it's not cheap, it's got the volume and trend velocity that swing traders love—just stay sharp on exits if overbought conditions emerge.

Want me to map a dynamic chart or scan the broader consumer durable space for comparison setups? Let’s get surgical.

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