ALOKINDS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 2.2

Entry Zone: ₹16.8–₹17.4 (only if MACD flattens and RSI > 50)

Exit if held: ₹18.8–₹19.2 (near 200 DMA and resistance zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹17.5
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹24.6 / ₹13.9
• 📉 RSI: 48.0 (neutral)
• 📉 MACD: -0.12 (bearish crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 51.4L vs 1W Avg 34.5L (surge — speculative interest)
• 📉 Book Value: -₹38.8 — negative net worth
• 📉 ROCE: -4.09% — capital erosion
• 📉 EPS: -₹1.39 — loss-making

✅ Positive

• 📈 Volume Spike: Indicates speculative interest near support zone.
• 📈 Price Stability: Holding above 1W average volume and near 50 DMA.
• 📈 Qtr Profit Var: -207 Cr vs -202 Cr — loss narrowed marginally.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Negative ROCE & Book Value: Indicates poor asset efficiency and financial stress.
• 📉 MACD Negative: Momentum still weak.
• 📉 RSI < 50: No bullish confirmation.
• 📉 EPS Negative: Loss-making — not suitable for valuation-based trades.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q2FY26 PAT: -₹207 Cr — continued losses due to high operating costs and weak textile demand.
• 📉 FII Sentiment: Foreign investors trimmed stake marginally.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 DII Accumulation: Domestic institutions increased stake slightly — speculative support.
• 📈 Operational Restructuring: Management announced cost optimization and asset monetization plans.

🧵 Industry

• 📉 Textile Sector: Facing margin pressure due to global demand slowdown and raw material inflation.
• 📈 Festive Demand: Domestic retail uptick expected in Q3 — may support volumes.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for fresh swing entry unless MACD flattens and RSI > 50 with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹18.8–₹19.2 (DMA resistance zone).
• 📉 Fundamentals weak, momentum fragile — suitable only for speculative alert-driven trades with tight stop-loss.

Sources

MarketsMojo – Technical Snapshot

Business Standard – Losses Continue

Economic Times – Textile Sector Outlook