ALOKINDS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.2

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading slightly above 50-DMA (₹18.7) but below 200-DMA (₹19.5), indicating short-term bounce but no trend confirmation.

RSI (56.6): Neutral-to-bullish zone—momentum is present but not strong.

MACD (0.04): Barely positive—momentum is flat and lacks conviction.

Volume: Above 1-week average, suggesting speculative interest but not institutional strength.

📉 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

Book Value -₹38.1 Negative — indicates balance sheet stress

ROCE / ROE -4.09% / — Negative/Unavailable — poor capital efficiency

PAT Growth (QoQ) -24.7% Deepening losses — sentiment risk

EPS -₹1.51 Negative — not profitable

FII/DII Change -0.07% / 0.00% No institutional support — weak conviction

Debt-to-Equity Not disclosed Adds uncertainty — risk factor

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Highly speculative setup with poor fundamentals and weak confirmation.

Catalyst: None visible — MACD and RSI are flat, and financials are deteriorating.

Risk: Negative book value, sustained losses, and no institutional interest — not suitable for structured swing logic.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Avoid Fresh Entry: No confirmation signals. If momentum builds, re-evaluate above ₹20.0 with volume >1 Cr and MACD >1.5.

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹20.5–₹21.5 (Resistance near 200-DMA and prior swing zone)

Stop-Loss: ₹17.5 (Below 50-DMA and recent support)

Selva, this setup doesn’t align with your margin-of-safety or confirmation framework. If you're refining your textile or turnaround basket, I can scan for low-debt, high-ROCE peers with stronger breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you’re ready.

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