ACMESOLAR - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.6

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading well above both 50-DMA (₹286) and 200-DMA (₹255), indicating short-term bullish structure.

RSI (55.9): Neutral zone—neither overbought nor oversold. Momentum is present but not strong.

MACD (7.60): Positive crossover with upward slope—momentum confirmation is visible.

Volume: Current volume (8.09L) is significantly below 1-week average (17.61L), suggesting fading interest or lack of conviction.

📉 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 487 Extremely overvalued vs industry PE (31.2)

PEG Ratio 8.82 Severely overpriced relative to growth

ROCE / ROE 7.63% / 5.18% Weak capital efficiency

Debt-to-Equity 0.50 Moderate leverage—acceptable but not ideal

PAT Growth (QoQ) Turnaround from -9.99 Cr. to +0.81 Cr. Positive swing, but absolute profit still negligible

FII/DII Change +1.02% / -0.48% FII inflow is encouraging, but DII outflow tempers sentiment

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Momentum-driven setup with weak fundamentals and valuation risk.

Catalyst: MACD strength + FII buying + price breakout above DMA cluster.

Risk: Extremely high valuation, poor profitability, and low volume confirmation.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹295–₹300

(Near 50-DMA breakout zone with stop-loss below ₹285)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹318–₹322 (Near 52-week high resistance)

Stop-Loss: ₹285 (Below 50-DMA and MACD support)

Selva, this is a speculative momentum play—not ideal for your margin-of-safety framework. If you're scanning for solar sector setups with better PEG and ROCE overlays, I can prep a filtered basket with confirmation logic and exit matrix. Want to run that next?

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