ACMESOLAR - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

Entry Zone: ₹255–₹265 (if RSI > 45 and MACD crossover)

Exit if held: ₹280–₹290 (near 50 DMA resistance)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹274
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹324 / ₹168
• 📉 RSI: 41.6 (weak momentum)
• 📉 MACD: -2.37 (bearish)
• 📈 Volume: 41.6L vs 1W Avg 16.9L (spike — possible reversal interest)
• 📉 FII/DII Holding: Both trimmed positions
• 📉 P/E: 772 vs Industry 31.0 (extremely overvalued)
• 📉 PEG Ratio: 14.0 (unsustainable growth pricing)
• 📉 ROCE/ROE: 7.63% / 5.18% — weak return metrics

✅ Positive

• 📈 Q2 PAT Jump: From ₹0.81 Cr to ₹29.4 Cr — strong sequential recovery.
• 📈 Volume Surge: Over 2.5x weekly average — potential accumulation.
• 📉 Low Debt: Debt-to-equity at 0.50 — manageable leverage.
• 📈 Above 200 DMA: Indicates long-term bullish bias.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Valuation Risk: P/E of 772 and PEG of 14.0 — extreme overvaluation.
• 📉 Weak Profitability: ROCE and ROE below industry norms.
• 📉 Momentum Weak: RSI < 45 and MACD negative.
• 📉 Dividend Yield: Just 0.07% — negligible income support.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Sequential Profit Dip: Q2 PAT of ₹115 Cr down 12% QoQ from ₹130.8 Cr despite YoY growth.
• 📉 EPS Pressure: EPS dropped to ₹1.88 from ₹2.14 QoQ.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Q2FY26 YoY Surge: Net profit up 652% YoY to ₹115 Cr; revenue doubled to ₹601 Cr.
• 🌬️ Wind Project Commissioned: 28 MW added in Gujarat; total capacity now 378 MW.
• 📈 EBITDA Growth: Up 108% YoY to ₹534 Cr with 88.8% margin.
• 📦 Portfolio Expansion: New project wins and higher capacity utilization reported.

🌞 Industry

• 📈 Renewable Boom: India’s solar and hybrid energy sector seeing strong policy and investor support.
• ⚡ Peer Activity: SAEL Industries, Adani Green, and NTPC Green expanding aggressively.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for fresh swing entry unless price dips to ₹255–₹265 with RSI > 45 and MACD crossover.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹280–₹290 (50 DMA resistance zone).
• 📉 Valuation and momentum risk high — suitable only for short-term tactical trades with tight stop-loss.

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