ULTRACEMCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

🧱 ULTRACEMCO Swing Trade Analysis

ULTRACEMCO presents a solid swing trade setup with strong technical positioning and stable fundamentals, though valuation and earnings contraction suggest a measured approach.

✅ Strengths

Technical Momentum

MACD: 27.9 — bullish crossover, indicating upward momentum.

RSI: 53.5 — neutral-to-bullish zone, with room to rise.

Price Above DMA 50 & 200: Current price ₹12,626 is above both DMA 50 (₹12,423) and DMA 200 (₹11,783), confirming trend strength.

Fundamental Quality

EPS: ₹240 — strong earnings base.

ROCE: 11.7% / ROE: 9.69% — decent capital efficiency.

Debt-to-Equity: 0.29 — moderate leverage.

Stable Institutional Sentiment: Both FII and DII holdings increased slightly.

Valuation

P/E: 52.9 vs Industry PE: 47.3 — slightly premium but not excessive.

⚠️ Risks

Quarterly PAT Decline: ₹2,682 Cr. → ₹2,232 Cr. — down 16.8%, signaling earnings pressure.

PEG Ratio: -15.9 — negative, suggesting valuation may not be supported by growth.

Volume Slightly Below Average: Indicates mild participation.

52W Index: 84.4% — near yearly high, limiting upside potential.

🎯 Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹12,400–₹12,500

Enter near 50 DMA for a low-risk setup with technical support.

Exit Plan (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹12,950–₹13,050

Conservative target near recent high of ₹13,102.

Stop Loss: ₹12,200

Below 200 DMA to manage downside risk.

ULTRACEMCO is a good swing candidate for traders seeking stability and momentum in a large-cap cement stock. Let me know if you'd like to compare it with peers like Shree Cement or Dalmia Bharat.

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