ULTRACEMCO - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Analysis Summary

UltraTech Cement (ULTRACEMCO) is a technically stable large-cap with decent momentum and improving fundamentals. While its valuation is stretched and RSI is neutral, the stock is trading near key support levels, making it a moderate candidate for swing trading with a favorable risk-reward setup.

✅ Positives for Swing Trading

MACD: 105

Strong bullish momentum — signals potential upside continuation.

DMA 50 & 200: ₹12,025 & ₹11,470

Price is above both — confirms uptrend support.

Quarterly PAT Growth: +43.8%

Solid earnings rebound — positive catalyst.

EPS: ₹235 vs Industry PE: 51.1

Strong earnings base — supports price strength.

FII & DII Holding ↑ 0.06% each

Mild institutional accumulation — improving sentiment.

Low Debt (D/E: 0.34)

Financially healthy — reduces downside risk.

⚠️ Risks & Weaknesses

P/E: 52.1 vs Industry PE: 51.1

Slightly overvalued — limits upside potential.

PEG Ratio: –10.1

Negative PEG — earnings growth may not justify valuation.

RSI: 49.8

Neutral zone — lacks strong momentum.

Dividend Yield: 0.63%

Low yield — not attractive for income-focused investors.

Volume Flat: 2.24L vs Avg 2.25L

No surge in participation — limited breakout conviction.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹12,000–₹12,050

Near DMA 50 — ideal for low-risk entry with support confirmation.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Exit Target: ₹12,600–₹12,700

Near 52-week high — logical resistance zone for profit booking.

Stop Loss: ₹11,850

Below DMA 50 — protects against trend reversal.

Would you like to explore other cement or infrastructure stocks with stronger RSI and volume breakout patterns for more aggressive swing setups?

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