ULTRACEMCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 ULTRACEMCO is technically weak but fundamentally solid, making it a cautious swing trade candidate. Optimal entry is ₹11,750–₹11,800. If already held, consider exiting near ₹12,200–₹12,300.

📈 Positive

• EPS of ₹249 and Qtr Profit Var of 56.5% show strong earnings performance.
• ROCE (11.7%) and ROE (9.69%) reflect decent capital efficiency.
• Trading near 200-DMA (₹11,880) offers technical support.
• FII holdings increased by 0.10%, indicating cautious foreign interest.
• Debt-to-equity ratio (0.30) shows a healthy balance sheet.

⚠️ Limitation

• MACD (-106) and RSI (37.6) suggest bearish momentum and oversold conditions.
• Current price below 50-DMA (₹12,207) reflects short-term weakness.
• PEG ratio (-14.4) indicates valuation concerns relative to growth.
• Dividend yield (0.66%) is modest for income-focused investors.

🚫 Company Negative News

• DII holdings declined by 0.20%, showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
• Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹2,232 Cr. to ₹1,064 Cr., raising short-term caution.

✅ Company Positive News

• Strong long-term fundamentals and leadership in the cement industry support investor confidence.
• Stock trading near support zone with potential for technical rebound.

🌐 Industry

• ULTRACEMCO operates in the cement and infrastructure sector, which benefits from government spending and real estate demand.
• Industry P/E of 36.4 reflects moderate valuation expectations.

🧾 Conclusion

• ULTRACEMCO is a cautious swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals but weak technicals.
• Optimal entry: ₹11,750–₹11,800 (near support and RSI zone).
• Exit target: ₹12,200–₹12,300 (near 50-DMA and resistance).
• Watch for MACD reversal and volume recovery before confirming entry.

I can chart ULTRACEMCO’s RSI and MACD trends to help you visualize the timing for entry and exit.