ULTRACEMCO - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | ULTRACEMCO | Market Cap | 3,41,415 Cr. | Current Price | 11,586 ₹ | High / Low | 13,110 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 45.6 | Book Value | 2,534 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.67 % | ROCE | 12.7 % |
| ROE | 10.4 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 11,749 ₹ | DMA 200 | 11,882 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.83 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.97 % | PAT Qtr | 2,616 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,570 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.4 | MACD | 102 | Volume | 7,79,076 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 5,73,529 |
| Low price | 10,325 ₹ | High price | 13,110 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.06 | Debt to equity | 0.27 |
| 52w Index | 45.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | -2.48 % | EPS | 251 ₹ | Industry PE | 30.8 |
📈 Optimal Buy Price: 11,550 – 11,600 ₹ (near short-term support)
💰 Profit Exit Levels: 11,750 – 11,800 ₹ (first resistance), 12,000 ₹ (momentum breakout)
⚠️ Stop-Loss: 11,500 ₹ (below support zone)
⏳ Intraday Exit Guidance: If already holding, consider booking profits near 11,750–12,000 ₹ if RSI approaches 50–52 or volume weakens. Exit immediately if price slips under 11,550 ₹ with declining momentum.
Positive
- EPS of 251 ₹ supports strong valuation base.
- PAT improved (2,616 Cr. vs 1,570 Cr.), showing earnings momentum.
- Price near 50 DMA (11,749 ₹) and 200 DMA (11,882 ₹), offering technical support zones.
- MACD positive at 102, indicating bullish bias.
- DII holdings increased (+0.97%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Dividend yield of 0.67% adds investor appeal.
Limitation
- P/E of 45.6 vs industry PE of 30.8 indicates valuation premium.
- RSI at 47.4 is weak, showing lack of momentum.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.83%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- PEG ratio at 3.06 suggests expensive growth relative to earnings.
- Quarterly profit variation at -2.48% highlights volatility.
Company Negative News
- Sequential profit variation (-2.48%) shows earnings pressure despite overall growth.
- FII outflows (-0.83%) may cap upside momentum.
Company Positive News
- PAT growth highlights strong operational performance.
- DII inflows (+0.97%) reflect domestic institutional confidence.
- Technical support near DMA levels provides stability.
Industry
- Industry PE at 30.8 is lower than ULTRACEMCO’s 45.6, highlighting valuation risk.
- Cement sector outlook remains positive with infrastructure demand, but valuations are stretched.
Conclusion
⚖️ ULTRACEMCO shows moderate intraday potential with strong fundamentals and technical support. However, weak RSI, valuation premium, and FII outflows limit conviction. Suitable for cautious intraday trades targeting 11,750–12,000 ₹ with strict stop-loss at 11,500 ₹.
Would you like me to extend this into a cement sector overlay comparing ULTRACEMCO against peers like Shree Cement, Ambuja, and ACC to highlight relative intraday strength?