ULTRACEMCO - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | ULTRACEMCO | Market Cap | 3,31,475 Cr. | Current Price | 11,247 ₹ | High / Low | 13,110 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 43.9 | Book Value | 2,401 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.69 % | ROCE | 11.7 % |
| ROE | 9.69 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 12,126 ₹ | DMA 200 | 12,014 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.89 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.80 % | PAT Qtr | 1,570 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,064 Cr. |
| RSI | 37.6 | MACD | -425 | Volume | 2,23,734 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 5,35,365 |
| Low price | 10,573 ₹ | High price | 13,110 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -13.2 | Debt to equity | 0.30 |
| 52w Index | 26.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 18.6 % | EPS | 254 ₹ | Industry PE | 28.2 |
📊 Analysis: ULTRACEMCO shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential today. RSI at 37.6 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-425) remains strongly bearish. Volume (2.23 lakh) is significantly below the 1-week average (5.35 lakh), suggesting reduced participation. The stock is trading below both 50 DMA (12,126 ₹) and 200 DMA (12,014 ₹), reflecting short- and medium-term weakness despite strong quarterly profit growth. Fundamentals remain supportive, but valuations are stretched compared to industry peers.
💹 Optimal Buy Price: 11,200–11,250 ₹ (near current support zone).
🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: 11,350 ₹ (first resistance), 11,500–11,600 ₹ (next resistance zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss: 11,100 ₹ (protective support).
📈 If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 11,200 ₹ with weakening momentum or volume. Protective exit below 11,100 ₹. Book partial profits near 11,350–11,600 ₹ if momentum sustains.
Positive
- Strong fundamentals: EPS at 254 ₹, ROE 9.69%, ROCE 11.7%.
- Quarterly PAT surged (1,570 Cr. vs 1,064 Cr.), showing strong growth.
- DII holdings increased (+0.80%), reflecting domestic institutional confidence.
- Book value at 2,401 ₹ provides strong asset backing.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.30 is manageable.
Limitation
- Stock trades below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
- MACD strongly negative (-425), confirming bearish bias.
- High P/E (43.9) compared to industry PE (28.2), showing premium valuation.
- Volume significantly below average, limiting intraday momentum.
Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.89%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Stock has corrected sharply from 52-week high of 13,110 ₹.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly profits improved by 18.6%, showing operational strength.
- DII support increased, reflecting domestic confidence.
- Strong book value and EPS highlight long-term resilience.
Industry
- Industry PE at 28.2, while ULTRACEMCO trades at 43.9, indicating premium valuation.
- Cement sector remains cyclical but supported by infrastructure and housing demand.
Conclusion
⚖️ ULTRACEMCO earns a weak-to-moderate intraday rating (3.7). Oversold RSI and bearish MACD limit upside, though strong quarterly profit growth and DII support are positives. Best strategy: Buy near 11,200–11,250 ₹, target 11,350–11,600 ₹, and protect downside at 11,100 ₹. Intraday traders should remain cautious and book profits quickly.
Selva, ULTRACEMCO is showing fundamental strength but technical weakness. Would you like me to prepare a basket overlay comparing ULTRACEMCO with peers like Shree Cement, Ambuja Cement, and ACC to see if intraday capital rotation favors ULTRACEMCO or stronger cement sector setups?